Super Lighub →Super Lig 2024-2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Galatasaray | 36 | 95 | 78.1 | +16.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.9 | +11.0 | 1:3 vs Fenerbahce (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Besiktas (-1.6) |
2 | Samsunspor | 36 | 64 | 53.6 | +10.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +4.0 | +6.3 | 1:4 vs Kasimpasa (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Konyaspor (-1.8) |
3 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 84 | 78.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.3 | +3.5 | 2:3 vs Trabzonspor (+1.2) | 4:2 vs Hatayspor (-2.5) |
4 | Eyupspor | 36 | 53 | 48.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 10 | +5.3 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Bodrumspor (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Rizespor (-1.5) |
5 | Kayserispor | 36 | 45 | 41.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 15 | +4.8 | -0.8 | 1:2 vs Kasimpasa (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sivasspor (-1.5) |
6 | Gaziantep | 36 | 45 | 41.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 14 | +9.2 | -5.8 | 1:2 vs Besiktas (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Alanyaspor (-1.3) |
7 | Antalyaspor | 36 | 44 | 40.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 16 | +10.1 | -6.8 | 1:2 vs Alanyaspor (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Eyupspor (-1.3) |
8 | Basaksehir | 36 | 54 | 53.4 | +0.6On expectation | 7 | +1.1 | -0.5 | 0:2 vs Besiktas (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Adana Demirspor (-2.7) |
9 | Konyaspor | 36 | 46 | 46.2 | -0.2On expectation | 12 | +5.3 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Samsunspor (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Samsunspor (-1.4) |
10 | Rizespor | 36 | 49 | 50.2 | -1.2On expectation | 8 | +1.4 | -2.6 | 1:2 vs Besiktas (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Bodrumspor (-1.7) |
11 | Alanyaspor | 36 | 45 | 46.6 | -1.6On expectation | 11 | +1.8 | -3.4 | 0:1 vs Goztepe (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (-1.7) |
12 | Kasimpasa | 36 | 47 | 48.8 | -1.8On expectation | 9 | -6.0 | +4.2 | 1:3 vs Besiktas (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Kayserispor (-1.8) |
13 | Besiktas | 36 | 62 | 64.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Fenerbahce (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Gaziantep (-2.2) |
14 | Trabzonspor | 36 | 51 | 54.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 4 | +4.0 | -7.3 | 0:3 vs Basaksehir (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Hatayspor (-2.2) |
15 | Goztepe | 36 | 50 | 53.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 5 | +4.6 | -8.3 | 2:4 vs Besiktas (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Alanyaspor (-2.1) |
16 | Sivasspor | 36 | 35 | 40.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 17 | +2.9 | -8.4 | 3:1 vs Goztepe (+1.9) | 3:2 vs Hatayspor (-1.5) |
17 | Bodrumspor | 36 | 37 | 44.1 | -7.1Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.6 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs Basaksehir (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Gaziantep (-1.7) |
18 | Hatayspor | 36 | 26 | 34.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 18 | -3.9 | -4.6 | 4:2 vs Fenerbahce (+2.6) | 1:3 vs Adana Demirspor (-2.2) |
19 | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 14 | 24.1 | -10.1Underperforming −− | 19 | -8.9 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Basaksehir (+2.8) | 2:4 vs Sivasspor (-1.3) |