Biggest divergence
Eyupspor – Rizespor+14.4%
Home win · data 39% vs market 25%
Fastest starters
Galatasaray8%
1 of their 12 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Galatasaray25%
3 of their 12 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
The season in numbers
The outlier
+3.0uBlindly backing away wins in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-4.9 ptsKonyaspor produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
39%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 26.2' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →
Eyupspor – Rizespor2026-09-12 14:00Home win ✓39.4%vs 25.0%▲ +14.4%- Galatasaray – Kocaelispor2026-09-13 17:00FT U3.5 ✓74.7%vs 62.9%▲ +11.8%
- Gaziantep – Fenerbahce2026-09-14 17:00Over 2.5 ✓68.0%vs 57.5%▲ +10.6%
- Kasimpasa – Konyaspor2026-09-18 17:00Home win ✓45.2%vs 41.3%▲ +3.9%
- Konyaspor – Trabzonspor2026-09-12 17:00Under 2.546.5%vs 45.9%▲ +0.7%
- Alanyaspor – Goztepe2026-09-12 17:00Away win31.1%vs 30.5%▲ +0.6%
| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | + | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Eyupspor– Rizespor | 2026-09-12 | 14:00 | Home win ✓ | 39.4% | 25.0% | ▲ +14.4% | 4.00 | |
| 2 |  Galatasaray– Kocaelispor | 2026-09-13 | 17:00 | FT U3.5 ✓ | 74.7% | 62.9% | ▲ +11.8% | 1.59 | |
| 3 |  Gaziantep– Fenerbahce | 2026-09-14 | 17:00 | Over 2.5 ✓ | 68.0% | 57.5% | ▲ +10.6% | 1.74 | |
| 4 |  Kasimpasa– Konyaspor | 2026-09-18 | 17:00 | Home win ✓ | 45.2% | 41.3% | ▲ +3.9% | 2.42 | |
| 5 | Konyaspor– Trabzonspor | 2026-09-12 | 17:00 | Under 2.5 | 46.5% | 45.9% | ▲ +0.7% | 2.18 | |
| 6 |  Alanyaspor– Goztepe | 2026-09-12 | 17:00 | Away win | 31.1% | 30.5% | ▲ +0.6% | 3.28 |
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Super Lig match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Away wins▲ +3.0u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing away wins in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: +3.0 units over 36 flat-stake bets.Home wins▲ +1.6u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing home wins in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: +1.6 units over 36 flat-stake bets.HT Over 1.5▼ -1.5u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht over 1.5 in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: -1.5 units over 36 flat-stake bets.Over 2.5 goals▼ -2.7u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing over 2.5 goals in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: -2.7 units over 36 flat-stake bets.HT Under 1.5▼ -5.3u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing ht under 1.5 in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: -5.3 units over 36 flat-stake bets.Under 2.5 goals▼ -5.4u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing under 2.5 goals in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: -5.4 units over 36 flat-stake bets.Draws▼ -10.9u
36 bets · flat stakechart →
Backing draws in every Super Lig match in 2026-2027: -10.9 units over 36 flat-stake bets.Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 10 | 8.8 | +1.2 | |
| 2 |  Besiktas | 9 | 7.5 | +1.5 | |
| 3 | Kocaelispor | 9 | 4.7 | +4.3 | |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 7.2 | -0.2 | |
| 5 | Gaziantep | 7 | 5.1 | +1.9 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 16 | Eyupspor | 3 | 3.6 | -0.6 | |
| 17 | Goztepe | 1 | 5.1 | -4.1 | |
| 18 | Konyaspor | 0 | 4.9 | -4.9 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+