Super Lighub →Super Lig 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 69 | 54.1 | +14.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.4 | +12.4 | 1:2 vs Besiktas (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Konyaspor (-1.6) |
2 | Basaksehir | 34 | 57 | 51.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.9 | +4.3 | 0:2 vs Samsunspor (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Genclerbirligi (-1.6) |
3 | Goztepe | 34 | 55 | 51.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 6 | +1.8 | +2.0 | 0:3 vs Rizespor (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Trabzonspor (-1.6) |
4 | Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 73.3 | +3.7Outperforming | 1 | +3.0 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Besiktas (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Kocaelispor (-2.2) |
5 | Samsunspor | 34 | 51 | 47.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 7 | +1.1 | +2.3 | 4:1 vs Galatasaray (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Antalyaspor (-2.0) |
6 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 74 | 70.7 | +3.4Outperforming | 2 | +0.9 | +2.4 | 2:3 vs Besiktas (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Karagumruk (-2.2) |
7 | Eyupspor | 34 | 33 | 34.2 | -1.2On expectation | 17 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 1:3 vs Alanyaspor (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Antalyaspor (-1.9) |
8 | Besiktas | 34 | 60 | 61.8 | -1.8On expectation | 3 | -3.1 | +1.3 | 2:3 vs Basaksehir (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Genclerbirligi (-2.4) |
9 | Gaziantep | 34 | 37 | 39.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 12 | -2.8 | +0.7 | 2:3 vs Kasimpasa (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Eyupspor (-1.7) |
10 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 32 | 34.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 16 | -2.3 | -0.5 | 1:2 vs Samsunspor (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Karagumruk (-1.9) |
11 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 34 | 37.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 15 | +3.7 | -7.0 | 1:2 vs Besiktas (+2.6) | 1:0 vs Eyupspor (-1.5) |
12 | Konyaspor | 34 | 40 | 43.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 9 | -2.2 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Galatasaray (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Kocaelispor (-1.8) |
13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 35 | 38.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 13 | -1.4 | -2.0 | 1:2 vs Alanyaspor (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Gaziantep (-1.6) |
14 | Karagumruk | 34 | 30 | 34.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 18 | +1.1 | -5.0 | 2:0 vs Fenerbahce (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Eyupspor (-1.9) |
15 | Rizespor | 34 | 41 | 45.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 8 | +0.2 | -5.2 | 2:5 vs Antalyaspor (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Kayserispor (-1.8) |
16 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 37 | 42.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 11 | -1.6 | -3.5 | 1:0 vs Galatasaray (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Karagumruk (-1.6) |
17 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 37 | 43.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.9 | -4.1 | 2:0 vs Besiktas (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Eyupspor (-2.0) |
18 | Kayserispor | 34 | 30 | 38.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 14 | -3.1 | -5.1 | 0:1 vs Rizespor (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Gaziantep (-1.4) |