TOPLYGAhub →TOPLYGA 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Suduva | 30 | 56 | 47.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.5 | +2.0 | 2:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.0) | 2:1 vs FA Siauliai (-1.7) |
2 | Dziugas Telsiai | 30 | 44 | 36.1 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 6 | +3.6 | +4.3 | 2:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.3) |
3 | Banga | 30 | 47 | 40.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 5 | +0.2 | +6.0 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:3 vs FK Panevezys (-1.7) |
4 | Transinvest | 30 | 51 | 46.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 4 | -0.7 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:2 vs FK Panevezys (-1.9) |
5 | FK Panevezys | 30 | 38 | 34.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 7 | +2.9 | +0.4 | 2:0 vs Zalgiris (+2.2) | 1:0 vs FA Siauliai (-1.6) |
6 | Kauno Zalgiris | 30 | 57 | 61.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 1 | -3.3 | -1.3 | 0:3 vs Zalgiris (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Transinvest (-2.1) |
7 | Hegelmann | 30 | 27 | 33.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 8 | -4.3 | -4.8 | 1:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Banga (-1.6) |
8 | Zalgiris | 30 | 48 | 54.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 2 | -1.1 | -5.5 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.1) |
9 | Riteriai | 17 | 3 | 10.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.2 | -4.1 | 0:0 vs Zalgiris (+0.6) | 0:2 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.0) |
10 | FA Siauliai | 31 | 21 | 28.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -1.3 | -6.1 | 2:1 vs Suduva (+2.0) | 3:2 vs FK Panevezys (-1.2) |