TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dziugas Telsiai | 23 | 39 | 28.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 6 | +5.2 | +5.6 | 2:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.3) |
2 | Banga | 22 | 36 | 29.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 5 | +3.1 | +3.6 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.6) |
3 | Suduva | 22 | 39 | 34.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 4 | +6.0 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.0) | 2:1 vs FA Siauliai (-1.8) |
4 | Transinvest | 23 | 38 | 35.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 3 | -0.5 | +2.7 | 1:2 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 1:2 vs FK Panevezys (-1.8) |
5 | FK Panevezys | 22 | 25 | 26.1 | -1.1On expectation | 7 | +1.7 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs Zalgiris (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.6) |
6 | Hegelmann | 23 | 23 | 25.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 8 | -2.3 | -3.5 | 1:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Banga (-1.6) |
7 | Zalgiris | 23 | 38 | 42.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 2 | -2.7 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.2) | 2:3 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.2) |
8 | FA Siauliai | 23 | 17 | 21.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 9 | +0.3 | -4.9 | 2:1 vs Suduva (+2.0) | 3:2 vs FK Panevezys (-1.2) |
9 | Kauno Zalgiris | 22 | 40 | 46.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 1 | -5.4 | -0.9 | 0:3 vs Zalgiris (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Transinvest (-2.1) |
10 | Riteriai | 17 | 3 | 10.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.1 | -4.1 | 0:0 vs Zalgiris (+0.6) | 0:2 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.0) |
