The season in numbers
Every market returned less than it cost this season. The closest, draws, returned −0.3% at market prices across 144 matches — the bookmaker margin at work.
FA Siauliai produced performances worth 7 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31' on average.
Add A Lyga fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
straight-line pace · ~3 rounds leftAt their current points pace, Kauno Zalgiris finish top with ~61 points, but the title race is open: Suduva project within 1 points. The market's biggest argument is with Riteriai: their results pace says ~6 points, the pace of their market prices (xPTS) says ~19 — one of them gives in.
| # | Team | Pts now | Results pace | Market pace | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Zalgiris | 57 | 61 | 66 | -5 |
| 2 |  Suduva | 56 | 60 | 51 | +9 |
| 3 | Transinvest | 51 | 54 | 49 | +5 |
| 4 |  Zalgiris | 48 | 51 | 58 | -7 |
| 5 |  Banga | 47 | 50 | 43 | +7 |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 |  Hegelmann | 27 | 29 | 35 | -7 |
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 21 | 22 | 29 | -8 |
| 10 | Riteriai | 3 | 6 | 19 | -14 |
Straight-line pace over each team's remaining scheduled fixtures — not a simulation. Market pace extrapolates xPTS (the points the market's prices expected so far) the same way. Split and playoff rounds count once they're scheduled.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/lithuania/toplyga/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="A Lyga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/lithuania/toplyga">A Lyga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every A Lyga match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 57 | 61.7 | -4.7 | |
| 2 | Suduva | 56 | 47.5 | +8.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Transinvest | 51 | 46.0 | +5.0 | |
| 4 | Zalgiris | 48 | 54.5 | -6.5 | |
| 5 | Banga | 47 | 40.8 | +6.2 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 | Hegelmann | 27 | 33.1 | -6.1 | |
| 9 | FA Siauliai | 21 | 28.5 | -7.5 | |
| 10 | Riteriai | 3 | 10.3 | -7.3 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+