Fastest starters
FK Panevezys19%
4 of their 21 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
FA Siauliai33%
7 of their 21 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Kauno Zalgiris are 2026 champions — 40 pts
Their xPTS said 46.3: delivered even more than the market priced.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+96.3uBlindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-7.2 ptsRiteriai produced performances worth 7 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
40%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.4' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every A Lyga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 40 | 46.3 | -6.3 | champions — market expected more |
| 2 | Suduva | 39 | 34.2 | +4.8 | |
| 3 | Dziugas Telsiai | 39 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
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Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+