TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 38 | 29.7 | +8.3Outperforming ++ | 3 | +1.6 | +6.7 | 2:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Banga (-2.0) |
2 | Zalgiris | 20 | 45 | 41.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 1 | -0.3 | +3.5 | 4:0 vs Suduva (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Riteriai (-2.4) |
3 | Suduva | 20 | 43 | 40.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 2 | +2.3 | +0.1 | 2:0 vs Zalgiris (+1.7) | 3:0 vs Kauno Zalgiris (-1.7) |
4 | Banga | 20 | 16 | 16.4 | -0.4On expectation | 6 | -2.3 | +1.9 | 2:3 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.2) | 2:1 vs FK Panevezys (-1.4) |
5 | FK Panevezys | 20 | 12 | 17.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 5 | -0.5 | -4.7 | 2:1 vs Riteriai (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Banga (-1.5) |
6 | Riteriai | 20 | 12 | 21.2 | -9.2Underperforming −− | 4 | -6.0 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Zalgiris (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.9) |
