TOPLYGAhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FK Panevezys | 36 | 87 | 68.2 | +18.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.1 | +11.7 | 1:2 vs Zalgiris (+1.9) | 0:0 vs Suduva (-1.6) |
2 | Siauliai FA | 36 | 62 | 57.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 5 | +6.0 | -1.3 | 1:0 vs Zalgiris (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Suduva (-1.9) |
3 | Banga | 36 | 36 | 32.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 9 | -0.1 | +3.4 | 0:1 vs Riteriai (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.7) |
4 | Suduva | 36 | 35 | 33.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +4.1 | -3.0 | 2:1 vs Zalgiris (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Banga (-1.5) |
5 | Hegelmann | 36 | 59 | 59.0 | -0.0On expectation | 4 | +3.0 | -3.1 | 1:3 vs Siauliai FA (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.1) |
6 | Zalgiris | 36 | 75 | 75.1 | -0.1On expectation | 1 | -0.4 | +0.3 | 2:5 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+1.3) | 2:3 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.6) |
7 | Kauno Zalgiris | 36 | 59 | 61.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 3 | +1.3 | -3.5 | 0:2 vs Zalgiris (+2.3) | 3:2 vs Hegelmann (-1.5) |
8 | Dziugas Telsiai | 36 | 25 | 28.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 10 | -3.9 | +0.3 | 2:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.7) | 0:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-1.5) |
9 | Dainava Alytus | 36 | 31 | 39.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.0 | -5.4 | 1:0 vs Hegelmann (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Riteriai (-1.8) |
10 | Riteriai | 36 | 25 | 40.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 6 | -14.3 | -1.5 | 0:1 vs Hegelmann (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.7) |
