TOPLYGAhub →TOPLYGA 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Suduva | 36 | 59 | 51.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 4 | +5.8 | +1.9 | 4:0 vs Hegelmann (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.8) |
2 | Hegelmann | 36 | 67 | 61.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.3 | -0.6 | 2:1 vs Zalgiris (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Dainava Alytus (-2.3) |
3 | Kauno Zalgiris | 36 | 75 | 69.7 | +5.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +1.9 | +3.4 | 1:2 vs Zalgiris (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-2.2) |
4 | Siauliai FA | 36 | 52 | 47.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 6 | +2.3 | +1.8 | 2:0 vs Zalgiris (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Riteriai (-2.0) |
5 | Dziugas Telsiai | 36 | 46 | 42.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 7 | -8.5 | +12.6 | 1:2 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Banga (-1.7) |
6 | Banga | 36 | 42 | 40.5 | +1.5On expectation | 8 | -1.3 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.6) |
7 | FK Panevezys | 36 | 49 | 50.7 | -1.7On expectation | 5 | +0.6 | -2.3 | 2:3 vs Zalgiris (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Riteriai (-2.2) |
8 | Zalgiris | 36 | 62 | 67.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 2 | -0.8 | -4.5 | 1:2 vs Kauno Zalgiris (+1.9) | 2:3 vs FK Panevezys (-2.2) |
9 | Riteriai | 36 | 26 | 32.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 9 | -2.0 | -4.6 | 0:1 vs FK Panevezys (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.7) |
10 | Dainava Alytus | 36 | 18 | 30.9 | -12.9Underperforming −− | 10 | -9.6 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Hegelmann (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Dziugas Telsiai (-1.4) |