Serie Bhub →Serie B 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sudtirol | 5 | 11 | 6.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 12 | +2.8 | +1.9 | 1:4 vs Arezzo (+1.8) | 1:1 vs Modena (-0.1) |
2 | Palermo | 5 | 13 | 9.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | +2.9 | +0.7 | 2:3 vs Arezzo (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Avellino (-0.7) |
3 | Mantova | 5 | 11 | 7.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 6 | +2.4 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Carrarese (+1.5) | 1:1 vs Cesena (-0.4) |
4 | Ascoli | 5 | 10 | 6.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 8 | +2.2 | +1.0 | 1:2 vs Verona (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Padova (-1.1) |
5 | Modena | 5 | 10 | 8.3 | +1.8On expectation | 3 | -1.1 | +2.9 | 0:3 vs Cremonese (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Avellino (-2.0) |
6 | Padova | 5 | 7 | 5.5 | +1.5On expectation | 19 | +1.1 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Pisa (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Cremonese (-1.0) |
7 | Avellino | 5 | 7 | 6.0 | +1.0On expectation | 15 | -0.1 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Modena (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Arezzo (-1.6) |
8 | Cesena | 5 | 7 | 6.0 | +1.0On expectation | 14 | -0.9 | +1.9 | 1:2 vs Entella (+2.1) | 1:1 vs Sampdoria (-0.4) |
9 | Arezzo | 5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3On expectation | 18 | -2.6 | +2.9 | 0:1 vs Empoli (+2.0) | 1:4 vs Sudtirol (-1.5) |
10 | Empoli | 5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3On expectation | 17 | +0.1 | +0.2 | 1:0 vs Cremonese (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Arezzo (-1.7) |
11 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 5 | 5.2 | -0.2On expectation | 20 | -1.7 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Sampdoria (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Pisa (-1.2) |
12 | Benevento | 5 | 7 | 7.3 | -0.3On expectation | 7 | -0.5 | +0.2 | 3:1 vs Verona (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Modena (-1.4) |
13 | Verona | 5 | 7 | 8.2 | -1.2On expectation | 4 | +0.6 | -1.8 | 2:1 vs L.R. Vicenza (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Ascoli (-1.9) |
14 | Pisa | 5 | 7 | 8.4 | -1.4On expectation | 2 | -2.5 | +1.1 | 0:3 vs Juve Stabia (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Padova (-1.9) |
15 | Entella | 5 | 5 | 6.5 | -1.5On expectation | 11 | -2.4 | +1.0 | 1:4 vs Pisa (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Cesena (-1.8) |
16 | L.R. Vicenza | 5 | 5 | 6.5 | -1.5On expectation | 10 | +0.7 | -2.2 | 3:2 vs Catanzaro (+1.5) | 3:0 vs Avellino (-1.2) |
17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 4 | 6.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 9 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 2:1 vs Catanzaro (+1.3) | 1:2 vs Juve Stabia (-1.8) |
18 | Cremonese | 5 | 5 | 7.8 | -2.9Underperforming | 5 | -0.8 | -2.0 | 3:1 vs Padova (+1.3) | 1:0 vs Empoli (-1.5) |
19 | Catanzaro | 5 | 3 | 6.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 13 | +1.2 | -4.4 | 1:0 vs Carrarese (+1.2) | 2:0 vs Sudtirol (-1.2) |
20 | Carrarese | 5 | 1 | 5.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 16 | -4.0 | -0.9 | 1:1 vs Ascoli (+0.0) | 0:1 vs Empoli (-1.5) |