Serie Bhub →Serie B 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Salernitana | 38 | 69 | 47.5 | +21.5Outperforming ++ | 14 | +10.3 | +8.2 | 0:1 vs Cremonese (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Monza (-1.3) |
2 | Empoli | 38 | 73 | 61.5 | +11.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.0 | +5.5 | 0:2 vs Frosinone (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Ascoli (-1.8) |
3 | Brescia | 38 | 56 | 51.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 10 | +3.6 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Monza (+2.1) | 0:3 vs L.R. Vicenza (-1.8) |
4 | Venezia | 38 | 59 | 55.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 7 | +2.9 | +0.9 | 1:4 vs Monza (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Salernitana (-1.7) |
5 | Ascoli | 38 | 44 | 42.1 | +1.9On expectation | 18 | +4.8 | -2.9 | 1:2 vs Lecce (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Salernitana (-1.5) |
6 | Pisa | 38 | 48 | 47.5 | +0.5On expectation | 15 | +3.8 | -3.2 | 0:3 vs Lecce (+2.3) | 2:1 vs Entella (-1.5) |
7 | Cittadella | 38 | 57 | 56.6 | +0.4On expectation | 5 | +2.7 | -2.3 | 1:3 vs Lecce (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Reggiana (-2.1) |
8 | Spal | 38 | 56 | 56.0 | +0.0On expectation | 6 | -0.4 | +0.4 | 1:2 vs Lecce (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Ascoli (-1.8) |
9 | Reggina | 38 | 50 | 50.6 | -0.6On expectation | 11 | -0.2 | -0.4 | 0:2 vs Venezia (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Pisa (-1.6) |
10 | Lecce | 38 | 62 | 62.8 | -0.8On expectation | 2 | -7.8 | +6.9 | 1:2 vs Cremonese (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Pisa (-2.1) |
11 | L.R. Vicenza | 38 | 48 | 49.0 | -0.9On expectation | 13 | -3.1 | +2.1 | 0:3 vs Brescia (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Entella (-1.6) |
12 | Monza | 38 | 64 | 65.2 | -1.1On expectation | 1 | -2.4 | +1.2 | 0:2 vs Venezia (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Pisa (-2.0) |
13 | Frosinone | 38 | 50 | 54.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 8 | -8.4 | +4.5 | 0:4 vs Reggina (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Cosenza (-2.0) |
14 | Chievo | 38 | 56 | 60.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 4 | +2.4 | -6.4 | 1:2 vs Monza (+2.0) | 1:2 vs L.R. Vicenza (-1.7) |
15 | Reggiana | 38 | 34 | 38.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 19 | +0.2 | -4.9 | 0:3 vs Cittadella (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Reggina (-1.4) |
16 | Cremonese | 38 | 48 | 53.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.1 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Pordenone (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Salernitana (-1.8) |
17 | Pordenone | 38 | 45 | 50.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.5 | -3.1 | 1:3 vs Spal (+2.0) | 1:2 vs L.R. Vicenza (-1.6) |
18 | Cosenza | 38 | 35 | 43.0 | -8.0Underperforming −− | 17 | -6.3 | -1.7 | 0:2 vs Frosinone (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Reggiana (-1.6) |
19 | Pescara | 38 | 32 | 43.3 | -11.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -6.6 | -4.7 | 0:1 vs Cittadella (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Entella (-1.5) |
20 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 38.3 | -15.3Underperforming −− | 20 | -8.7 | -6.7 | 1:0 vs Cittadella (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Reggiana (-1.6) |