Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Como | 38 | 73 | 58.5 | +14.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +7.9 | +6.6 | 0:1 vs Spezia (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Ascoli (-1.9) |
2 | Parma | 38 | 76 | 64.0 | +12.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.5 | +7.5 | 1:2 vs Cremonese (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Catanzaro (-2.0) |
3 | Venezia | 38 | 70 | 60.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.0 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Sampdoria (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Reggiana (-2.0) |
4 | Catanzaro | 38 | 60 | 51.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 11 | +2.2 | +6.4 | 0:2 vs Parma (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Reggiana (-1.7) |
5 | Brescia | 38 | 51 | 46.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 16 | +1.9 | +2.5 | 2:3 vs Catanzaro (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Bari (-1.5) |
6 | Sudtirol | 38 | 47 | 44.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 18 | +0.5 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Cremonese (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Reggiana (-1.5) |
7 | Cremonese | 38 | 67 | 64.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 1 | -3.3 | +6.1 | 0:1 vs Modena (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Ternana (-2.2) |
8 | Sampdoria | 38 | 57 | 54.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 7 | -5.3 | +7.8 | 1:2 vs Cittadella (+1.9) | 2:3 vs FeralpiSalo (-2.0) |
9 | Cosenza | 38 | 47 | 46.8 | +0.2On expectation | 14 | -5.6 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Palermo (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Ternana (-1.6) |
10 | Reggiana | 38 | 47 | 46.8 | +0.2On expectation | 15 | -6.6 | +6.8 | 2:3 vs Venezia (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Ternana (-1.7) |
11 | Palermo | 38 | 56 | 57.9 | -1.9On expectation | 5 | -4.9 | +3.0 | 1:3 vs Venezia (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Lecco (-2.3) |
12 | Ternana | 38 | 43 | 46.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 17 | -4.9 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs Cremonese (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Brescia (-1.7) |
13 | Cittadella | 38 | 46 | 51.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -2.4 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs Palermo (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sampdoria (-1.6) |
14 | Ascoli | 38 | 41 | 46.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 13 | -4.0 | -1.9 | 0:2 vs Como (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sudtirol (-1.6) |
15 | Pisa | 38 | 46 | 52.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -4.3 | -1.8 | 0:2 vs Sampdoria (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Lecco (-1.9) |
16 | Modena | 38 | 47 | 53.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 8 | -5.9 | -0.7 | 3:0 vs Parma (+2.0) | 2:3 vs FeralpiSalo (-1.8) |
17 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 33 | 40.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 19 | -9.2 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Cremonese (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Sudtirol (-1.5) |
18 | Bari | 38 | 41 | 50.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.5 | -6.9 | 0:1 vs Cremonese (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Reggiana (-1.8) |
19 | Spezia | 38 | 44 | 54.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 6 | -5.3 | -5.5 | 2:3 vs Pisa (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Reggiana (-1.9) |
20 | Lecco | 38 | 26 | 37.8 | -11.8Underperforming −− | 20 | -8.3 | -3.4 | 1:2 vs Palermo (+2.5) | 1:2 vs FeralpiSalo (-1.5) |
