Fastest starters
Mantova20%
9 of their 45 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Pescara35%
18 of their 51 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Monza are 2025-2026 champions — 83 pts
Their xPTS said 73.2: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
The outlier
+12.8uBlindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Most underrated by results
-16.1 ptsSpezia produced performances worth 16 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
32%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 31.9' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Serie B match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monza | 83 | 73.2 | +9.8 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Venezia | 82 | 71.5 | +10.5 | outperformed expectations |
| 3 | Frosinone | 81 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Follow the Serie B
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
