Serie Bhub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Frosinone | 38 | 80 | 61.7 | +18.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +9.8 | +8.5 | 0:1 vs Modena (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cosenza (-2.3) |
2 | Sudtirol | 38 | 58 | 44.2 | +13.8Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.7 | +11.1 | 0:1 vs Pisa (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Venezia (-1.6) |
3 | Bari | 38 | 65 | 52.6 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +0.3 | +12.1 | 0:1 vs Cagliari (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Ascoli (-1.8) |
4 | Genoa | 38 | 74 | 69.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 1 | +3.7 | +1.1 | 1:2 vs Bari (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Cittadella (-1.9) |
5 | Cosenza | 38 | 40 | 36.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 20 | +6.4 | -3.1 | 0:1 vs Frosinone (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Bari (-1.2) |
6 | Parma | 38 | 61 | 58.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 3 | +2.2 | -0.0 | 3:4 vs Frosinone (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Spal (-1.9) |
7 | Cagliari | 38 | 60 | 57.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 4 | +6.1 | -4.0 | 0:4 vs Reggina (+1.8) | 1:4 vs Venezia (-1.8) |
8 | Reggina | 38 | 55 | 54.2 | +0.8On expectation | 5 | +0.9 | -0.1 | 1:3 vs Spal (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Spal (-2.0) |
9 | Palermo | 38 | 49 | 48.9 | +0.1On expectation | 16 | +3.3 | -3.2 | 0:1 vs Benevento (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Sudtirol (-1.7) |
10 | Ascoli | 38 | 47 | 47.4 | -0.3On expectation | 17 | -3.2 | +2.8 | 0:1 vs Parma (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Modena (-1.6) |
11 | Modena | 38 | 48 | 50.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 9 | -0.2 | -2.5 | 1:2 vs Parma (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Palermo (-1.7) |
12 | Venezia | 38 | 49 | 51.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 8 | -3.3 | +0.5 | 1:4 vs Cagliari (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Ascoli (-1.7) |
13 | Como | 38 | 47 | 49.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 13 | +2.9 | -5.8 | 0:3 vs Ternana (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Sudtirol (-1.6) |
14 | Spal | 38 | 38 | 42.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 19 | -6.1 | +1.2 | 1:2 vs Pisa (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Reggina (-1.7) |
15 | Pisa | 38 | 47 | 53.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.6 | -2.1 | 0:1 vs Parma (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Spal (-2.2) |
16 | Cittadella | 38 | 43 | 50.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 12 | -5.2 | -1.8 | 0:1 vs Genoa (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sudtirol (-1.6) |
17 | Ternana | 38 | 43 | 50.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 11 | +0.1 | -7.0 | 2:3 vs Parma (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Sudtirol (-1.7) |
18 | Brescia | 38 | 40 | 49.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.7 | -5.3 | 1:2 vs Reggina (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Sudtirol (-1.4) |
19 | Perugia | 38 | 39 | 50.2 | -11.2Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.8 | -6.3 | 2:3 vs Reggina (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sudtirol (-1.7) |
20 | Benevento | 38 | 35 | 49.3 | -14.3Underperforming −− | 14 | -10.7 | -3.6 | 0:1 vs Parma (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Cosenza (-2.1) |
