Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Huddersfield U21 | 31 | 57 | 41.4 | +15.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +2.4 | +14.4 | 1:2 vs Charlton U21 (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Colchester U21 (-1.7) |
2 | Brentford U21 | 30 | 61 | 54.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 2 | +1.7 | +5.0 | 2:3 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Millwall U21 (-2.2) |
3 | Watford U21 | 28 | 45 | 39.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +8.7 | -3.0 | 0:3 vs Barnsley U21 (+2.1) | 5:2 vs Colchester U21 (-1.6) |
4 | Peterborough U21 | 30 | 51 | 46.0 | +5.0Outperforming | 5 | -1.9 | +6.8 | 0:1 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.6) | 2:3 vs Hull U21 (-2.0) |
5 | Swansea U21 | 30 | 51 | 46.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 4 | +3.0 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Coventry U21 (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Barnsley U21 (-1.9) |
6 | Bournemouth U21 | 30 | 53 | 49.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 3 | +2.7 | -2.3 | 2:3 vs Brentford U21 (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Peterborough U21 (-2.4) |
7 | Barnsley U21 | 28 | 37 | 33.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 17 | -3.5 | +6.8 | 0:2 vs Hull U21 (+2.6) | 0:3 vs Watford U21 (-1.9) |
8 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 6 | 5.2 | +0.8On expectation | 22 | -0.2 | +2.1 | 1:2 vs Nottingham U21 (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Huddersfield U21 (-1.6) |
9 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 6 | 5.3 | +0.7On expectation | 21 | -0.8 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Peterborough U21 (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Norwich U21 (-1.9) |
10 | Bristol City U21 | 28 | 35 | 34.4 | +0.6On expectation | 16 | +0.4 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+2.6) | 3:4 vs Crewe U21 (-2.0) |
11 | Wigan U21 | 28 | 38 | 37.6 | +0.4On expectation | 12 | -0.7 | +1.0 | 2:1 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+2.3) | 2:3 vs Bristol City U21 (-1.9) |
12 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | — |
13 | Everton U21 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.0On expectation | 23 | +1.5 | 0.0 | 4:2 vs Brentford U21 (+1.5) | 4:2 vs Brentford U21 (1.5) |
14 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs Brentford U21 (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs Brentford U21 (-1.2) |
15 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 2:0 vs Swansea U21 (+-1.5) | 2:0 vs Swansea U21 (-1.5) |
16 | Reading U21 | 1 | 0 | 1.7 | -1.7On expectation | 25 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Huddersfield U21 (+-1.7) | 0:1 vs Huddersfield U21 (-1.7) |
17 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9On expectation | 24 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Peterborough U21 (+-1.9) | 1:3 vs Peterborough U21 (-1.9) |
18 | Coventry U21 | 28 | 35 | 37.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 13 | -5.2 | +3.1 | 2:4 vs Hull U21 (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Peterborough U21 (-1.8) |
19 | Cardiff U21 | 28 | 40 | 42.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 7 | -4.8 | +2.5 | 4:0 vs Brentford U21 (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Wigan U21 (-2.0) |
20 | QPR U21 | 28 | 33 | 35.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 14 | -2.3 | -0.1 | 1:4 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.1) | 2:3 vs Wigan U21 (-1.7) |
21 | Crewe U21 | 28 | 23 | 25.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 20 | -3.1 | +0.5 | 3:4 vs Bristol City U21 (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Brentford U21 (-1.2) |
22 | Millwall U21 | 28 | 36 | 39.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 10 | -4.1 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Brentford U21 (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Barnsley U21 (-2.2) |
23 | Colchester U21 | 28 | 24 | 27.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 19 | +3.3 | -7.1 | 2:1 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.1) | 0:6 vs Millwall U21 (-1.7) |
24 | Hull U21 | 28 | 37 | 41.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 9 | -3.5 | -0.5 | 2:3 vs Peterborough U21 (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Barnsley U21 (-2.4) |
25 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 28 | 52 | 56.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 1 | -3.2 | +0.4 | 1:3 vs Brentford U21 (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Bristol City U21 (-2.4) |
26 | Charlton U21 | 29 | 40 | 44.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 6 | -0.9 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Bournemouth U21 (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Huddersfield U21 (-1.9) |
27 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 28 | 30 | 35.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 15 | -0.7 | -4.7 | 0:2 vs Wigan U21 (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Coventry U21 (-1.5) |
28 | Fleetwood U21 | 28 | 23 | 31.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 18 | -2.4 | -6.1 | 1:2 vs Coventry U21 (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Barnsley U21 (-1.9) |