Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ipswich U23 | 24 | 51 | 38.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 5 | -1.2 | +14.2 | 0:1 vs Bristol City U23 (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Hull U23 (-2.2) |
2 | Hull U23 | 23 | 40 | 28.3 | +11.7Outperforming ++ | 14 | +9.1 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Ipswich U23 (+2.4) | 4:1 vs Crewe U23 (-1.4) |
3 | Cardiff U23 | 24 | 47 | 38.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | +4.3 | +4.6 | 1:2 vs Coventry U23 (+2.2) | 0:2 vs QPR U23 (-1.9) |
4 | Bristol City U23 | 24 | 50 | 43.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 1 | -3.7 | +9.9 | 1:2 vs Ipswich U23 (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Peterborough U23 (-2.2) |
5 | Sheffield Utd U23 | 23 | 48 | 43.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 2 | +4.0 | +0.9 | 0:4 vs Watford U23 (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Sheffield Wed U23 (-1.8) |
6 | Colchester U23 | 24 | 29 | 26.1 | +3.0Outperforming | 16 | +2.4 | +0.6 | 4:1 vs Barnsley U23 (+2.3) | 1:4 vs Crewe U23 (-1.8) |
7 | Charlton U23 | 24 | 36 | 33.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 6 | -1.9 | +4.0 | 0:7 vs Barnsley U23 (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Hull U23 (-1.7) |
8 | Crewe U23 | 23 | 23 | 21.4 | +1.6On expectation | 17 | +0.2 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Sheffield Wed U23 (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Wigan U23 (-1.3) |
9 | Coventry U23 | 23 | 43 | 41.6 | +1.4On expectation | 3 | +3.5 | -2.1 | 1:3 vs Swansea U23 (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Cardiff U23 (-2.0) |
10 | Millwall U23 | 24 | 30 | 31.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | +6.3 | -7.9 | 4:0 vs Barnsley U23 (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Colchester U23 (-1.8) |
11 | Wigan U23 | 23 | 25 | 29.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 12 | -1.4 | -3.3 | 2:0 vs Coventry U23 (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Barnsley U23 (-1.8) |
12 | Watford U23 | 24 | 25 | 30.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -0.6 | -4.7 | 2:0 vs Wigan U23 (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Colchester U23 (-1.7) |
13 | Barnsley U23 | 23 | 22 | 28.9 | -6.9Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.8 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs QPR U23 (+2.2) | 4:1 vs Colchester U23 (-2.0) |
14 | Swansea U23 | 24 | 24 | 31.1 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.4 | -3.7 | 0:2 vs QPR U23 (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Charlton U23 (-1.8) |
15 | Sheffield Wed U23 | 23 | 20 | 27.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 15 | -3.2 | -4.0 | 1:0 vs Sheffield Utd U23 (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Crewe U23 (-1.9) |
16 | QPR U23 | 24 | 24 | 31.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.5 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs Cardiff U23 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Barnsley U23 (-2.0) |
17 | Peterborough U23 | 23 | 22 | 30.5 | -8.5Underperforming −− | 10 | -0.2 | -8.3 | 1:4 vs Bristol City U23 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Barnsley U23 (-2.0) |