Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bournemouth U21 | 31 | 67 | 49.5 | +17.5Outperforming ++ | 6 | +11.4 | +6.1 | 3:1 vs Millwall U21 (+2.0) | 2:5 vs QPR U21 (-2.0) |
2 | Brentford U21 | 31 | 67 | 54.7 | +12.3Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.4 | +3.8 | 1:6 vs Charlton U21 (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Watford U21 (-1.9) |
3 | Millwall U21 | 31 | 66 | 55.1 | +10.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.2 | +0.7 | 5:0 vs Swansea U21 (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Bournemouth U21 (-1.8) |
4 | Coventry U21 | 31 | 51 | 41.2 | +9.8Outperforming ++ | 15 | +1.1 | +8.7 | 3:4 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+2.7) | 3:2 vs Peterborough U21 (-2.0) |
5 | Hull U21 | 31 | 51 | 44.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 10 | +8.1 | -1.1 | 0:2 vs Ipswich U21 (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Coventry U21 (-1.7) |
6 | Fleetwood U21 | 31 | 43 | 36.1 | +6.9Outperforming ++ | 17 | +7.3 | -0.4 | 3:1 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+2.3) | 3:2 vs Peterborough U21 (-1.6) |
7 | Charlton U21 | 31 | 58 | 53.5 | +4.5Outperforming | 5 | +0.4 | +4.0 | 2:3 vs Bournemouth U21 (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Swansea U21 (-2.0) |
8 | Burnley U21 | 31 | 59 | 56.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 2 | -4.4 | +7.2 | 1:3 vs Bristol City U21 (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Wigan U21 (-2.3) |
9 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 31 | 64 | 61.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | +3.8 | -1.6 | 0:1 vs Burnley U21 (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Coventry U21 (-2.5) |
10 | Swansea U21 | 31 | 43 | 42.9 | +0.1On expectation | 12 | +4.2 | -4.1 | 1:3 vs Watford U21 (+2.3) | 2:0 vs Colchester U21 (-2.2) |
11 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 31 | 45 | 45.4 | -0.4On expectation | 8 | -0.6 | +0.2 | 0:2 vs Burnley U21 (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Fleetwood U21 (-2.0) |
12 | Crewe U21 | 31 | 25 | 25.5 | -0.5On expectation | 22 | +3.0 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Peterborough U21 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs QPR U21 (-1.5) |
13 | Ipswich U21 | 31 | 44 | 45.0 | -1.0On expectation | 9 | -4.4 | +3.4 | 1:3 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (+1.8) | 3:4 vs Bristol City U21 (-2.0) |
14 | Peterborough U21 | 31 | 35 | 36.1 | -1.1On expectation | 18 | -0.7 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Watford U21 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Crewe U21 (-2.3) |
15 | Cardiff U21 | 31 | 44 | 46.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 7 | +1.5 | -3.6 | 3:4 vs Birmingham U21 (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Hull U21 (-1.6) |
16 | Bristol City U21 | 31 | 40 | 43.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | +2.4 | -5.3 | 0:4 vs Barnsley U21 (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Fleetwood U21 (-1.8) |
17 | Watford U21 | 31 | 38 | 41.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 14 | +0.8 | -4.7 | 2:1 vs Brentford U21 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Peterborough U21 (-2.3) |
18 | Birmingham U21 | 31 | 31 | 38.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 16 | -6.1 | -1.4 | 0:4 vs Watford U21 (+2.1) | 0:3 vs Colchester U21 (-2.3) |
19 | Wigan U21 | 31 | 26 | 33.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 20 | -2.1 | -5.5 | 1:3 vs Burnley U21 (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Birmingham U21 (-1.8) |
20 | QPR U21 | 31 | 28 | 35.8 | -7.8Underperforming −− | 19 | -5.9 | -1.9 | 2:5 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.2) | 1:4 vs Bournemouth U21 (-1.6) |
21 | Colchester U21 | 31 | 14 | 25.9 | -11.9Underperforming −− | 21 | -6.4 | -5.5 | 0:3 vs Birmingham U21 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Peterborough U21 (-1.8) |
22 | Barnsley U21 | 31 | 30 | 42.6 | -12.6Underperforming −− | 13 | -9.8 | -2.8 | 0:1 vs Peterborough U21 (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Bristol City U21 (-2.0) |