Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Millwall U21 | 28 | 61 | 44.1 | +16.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +7.7 | +9.2 | 0:1 vs Hull U21 (+2.0) | 1:1 vs Watford U21 (-1.1) |
2 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 28 | 60 | 50.6 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 1 | +4.6 | +4.8 | 0:2 vs Wigan U21 (+2.0) | 3:0 vs Barnsley U21 (-1.9) |
3 | Swansea U21 | 28 | 52 | 45.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.8 | -4.6 | 4:1 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Coventry U21 (-2.3) |
4 | Bristol City U21 | 28 | 53 | 49.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 2 | -1.3 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Watford U21 (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Cardiff U21 (-2.2) |
5 | Coventry U21 | 28 | 39 | 36.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 14 | +1.9 | +0.9 | 2:3 vs Swansea U21 (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (-2.3) |
6 | Hull U21 | 28 | 42 | 40.4 | +1.6On expectation | 9 | -0.7 | +2.3 | 1:3 vs QPR U21 (+2.1) | 3:6 vs Crewe U21 (-1.9) |
7 | Cardiff U21 | 28 | 42 | 40.5 | +1.5On expectation | 8 | +5.2 | -3.6 | 1:0 vs Bristol City U21 (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Watford U21 (-2.1) |
8 | Charlton U21 | 28 | 37 | 36.8 | +0.2On expectation | 13 | +2.9 | -2.7 | 2:1 vs Coventry U21 (+2.1) | 2:0 vs Barnsley U21 (-1.6) |
9 | Barnsley U21 | 28 | 36 | 36.0 | -0.0On expectation | 15 | +1.6 | -1.6 | 1:6 vs Wigan U21 (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (-1.9) |
10 | Reading U21 | 28 | 41 | 41.8 | -0.8On expectation | 6 | +2.7 | -3.5 | 2:7 vs Ipswich U21 (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Peterborough U21 (-1.9) |
11 | Crewe U21 | 28 | 31 | 31.8 | -0.8On expectation | 17 | -4.3 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Watford U21 (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (-2.1) |
12 | Peterborough U21 | 28 | 37 | 38.2 | -1.2On expectation | 12 | +1.3 | -2.5 | 2:3 vs Reading U21 (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Coventry U21 (-2.0) |
13 | Ipswich U21 | 28 | 39 | 40.4 | -1.4On expectation | 10 | +2.3 | -3.7 | 3:2 vs Bristol City U21 (+1.8) | 2:7 vs Reading U21 (-1.7) |
14 | Burnley U21 | 28 | 38 | 39.8 | -1.8On expectation | 11 | -6.1 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Colchester U21 (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Crewe U21 (-1.8) |
15 | Colchester U21 | 28 | 28 | 30.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 18 | -4.6 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Wigan U21 (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Burnley U21 (-1.7) |
16 | Wigan U21 | 28 | 42 | 44.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 4 | -3.4 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Bristol City U21 (+2.1) | 1:6 vs Barnsley U21 (-2.0) |
17 | QPR U21 | 28 | 38 | 41.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 7 | -3.9 | +0.5 | 3:5 vs Cardiff U21 (+1.7) | 2:4 vs Watford U21 (-2.0) |
18 | Birmingham U21 | 28 | 29 | 35.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.0 | -3.3 | 1:2 vs Barnsley U21 (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Coventry U21 (-1.7) |
19 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 28 | 19 | 26.2 | -7.2Underperforming −− | 20 | -8.0 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Coventry U21 (+2.4) | 3:1 vs Colchester U21 (-1.5) |
20 | Watford U21 | 28 | 21 | 29.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 19 | -10.1 | +2.0 | 0:3 vs Cardiff U21 (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Crewe U21 (-2.0) |