Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Birmingham U21 | 30 | 55 | 44.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 9 | +6.2 | +4.3 | 3:0 vs Bristol City U21 (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Burnley U21 (-1.8) |
2 | Sheffield Wed U21 | 30 | 54 | 44.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | -2.6 | +11.9 | 1:2 vs Barnsley U21 (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Coventry U21 (-2.0) |
3 | Millwall U21 | 29 | 59 | 50.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +2.7 | +6.1 | 0:3 vs Sheffield Utd U21 (+1.9) | 1:6 vs Charlton U21 (-2.0) |
4 | Ipswich U21 | 29 | 46 | 39.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 14 | +7.2 | -0.4 | 1:3 vs Bournemouth U21 (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Birmingham U21 (-1.7) |
5 | Barnsley U21 | 30 | 54 | 48.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.3 | +2.0 | 0:2 vs QPR U21 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (-2.0) |
6 | Watford U21 | 29 | 37 | 32.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 19 | -0.7 | +5.5 | 0:1 vs QPR U21 (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Bristol City U21 (-1.5) |
7 | Bournemouth U21 | 29 | 51 | 46.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 5 | +2.3 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Bristol City U21 (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Ipswich U21 (-2.2) |
8 | Hull U21 | 30 | 45 | 40.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 13 | -0.7 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Coventry U21 (-2.2) |
9 | QPR U21 | 29 | 49 | 44.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 7 | -0.3 | +4.7 | 2:3 vs Wigan U21 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Watford U21 (-2.1) |
10 | Burnley U21 | 30 | 42 | 39.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 15 | -1.8 | +4.9 | 1:2 vs Swansea U21 (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Crewe U21 (-2.3) |
11 | Sheffield Utd U21 | 30 | 63 | 60.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 1 | +0.4 | +2.6 | 0:2 vs Bournemouth U21 (+1.6) | 1:3 vs QPR U21 (-2.2) |
12 | Fleetwood U21 | 30 | 42 | 40.7 | +1.3On expectation | 12 | -3.5 | +4.8 | 4:1 vs Cardiff U21 (+2.0) | 4:6 vs Crewe U21 (-1.9) |
13 | Colchester U21 | 29 | 31 | 30.1 | +0.8On expectation | 20 | +0.6 | +0.2 | 1:2 vs Charlton U21 (+2.5) | 4:0 vs Crewe U21 (-1.9) |
14 | Swansea U21 | 29 | 51 | 52.5 | -1.5On expectation | 2 | +2.8 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Sheffield Wed U21 (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Burnley U21 (-2.2) |
15 | Crewe U21 | 30 | 19 | 22.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 21 | -7.8 | +4.6 | 1:3 vs Burnley U21 (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Watford U21 (-1.4) |
16 | Cardiff U21 | 29 | 31 | 34.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 17 | +1.1 | -4.4 | 1:2 vs Bristol City U21 (+2.4) | 4:1 vs Fleetwood U21 (-1.8) |
17 | Coventry U21 | 30 | 26 | 33.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 18 | -6.8 | -0.2 | 1:2 vs Hull U21 (+2.4) | 0:4 vs Fleetwood U21 (-1.8) |
18 | Peterborough U21 | 30 | 27 | 36.0 | -9.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -3.0 | -6.0 | 0:6 vs Hull U21 (+1.9) | 3:4 vs Crewe U21 (-2.1) |
19 | Bristol City U21 | 29 | 35 | 44.5 | -9.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -0.8 | -8.8 | 1:3 vs Watford U21 (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Cardiff U21 (-2.2) |
20 | Charlton U21 | 29 | 31 | 41.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 11 | -6.5 | -4.1 | 1:6 vs Millwall U21 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Colchester U21 (-2.4) |
21 | Wigan U21 | 30 | 26 | 41.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 10 | -9.2 | -6.6 | 2:1 vs Swansea U21 (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Crewe U21 (-2.2) |