Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sheffield Utd U23 | 25 | 55 | 40.3 | +14.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +8.2 | +6.5 | 4:2 vs Hull U23 (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Swansea U23 (-2.2) |
2 | Bristol City U23 | 25 | 50 | 38.0 | +12.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +7.7 | +4.3 | 1:2 vs Cardiff U23 (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Sheffield Wed U23 (-1.8) |
3 | Ipswich U23 | 25 | 42 | 34.5 | +7.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.2 | +0.3 | 2:1 vs Cardiff U23 (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Watford U23 (-1.8) |
4 | Barnsley U23 | 25 | 41 | 36.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 5 | +1.3 | +3.2 | 2:3 vs Watford U23 (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Sheffield Wed U23 (-1.7) |
5 | Hull U23 | 25 | 39 | 34.6 | +4.4Outperforming | 9 | +4.1 | +0.3 | 2:4 vs QPR U23 (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Millwall U23 (-1.8) |
6 | Birmingham U23 | 25 | 47 | 43.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 2 | -0.0 | +3.6 | 0:3 vs Swansea U23 (+1.5) | 1:3 vs Wigan U23 (-2.2) |
7 | Wigan U23 | 25 | 36 | 33.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 11 | -5.5 | +7.8 | 1:3 vs Birmingham U23 (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Watford U23 (-2.0) |
8 | Watford U23 | 25 | 32 | 32.4 | -0.4On expectation | 13 | -7.1 | +6.7 | 2:3 vs Birmingham U23 (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Colchester U23 (-1.9) |
9 | Charlton U23 | 25 | 31 | 31.9 | -0.9On expectation | 15 | -0.9 | +0.0 | 4:5 vs Cardiff U23 (+2.1) | 3:4 vs Swansea U23 (-2.3) |
10 | Crewe U23 | 25 | 25 | 27.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 17 | -4.2 | +2.1 | 0:2 vs Nottingham U23 (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Ipswich U23 (-1.2) |
11 | Nottingham U23 | 25 | 42 | 44.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 2:1 vs Sheffield Utd U23 (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Crewe U23 (-2.4) |
12 | Coventry U23 | 25 | 34 | 36.4 | -2.4Underperforming | 6 | -7.0 | +4.6 | 1:6 vs Cardiff U23 (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Millwall U23 (-2.0) |
13 | Sheffield Wed U23 | 25 | 29 | 32.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 14 | -2.5 | -0.6 | 2:0 vs Nottingham U23 (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Coventry U23 (-1.7) |
14 | Swansea U23 | 25 | 26 | 29.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 16 | -1.5 | -2.2 | 3:4 vs Charlton U23 (+2.5) | 3:0 vs Bristol City U23 (-1.8) |
15 | Cardiff U23 | 25 | 32 | 36.0 | -4.0Underperforming | 7 | +2.6 | -6.7 | 1:2 vs Nottingham U23 (+2.1) | 1:6 vs Coventry U23 (-2.1) |
16 | Millwall U23 | 25 | 30 | 35.5 | -5.5Underperforming −− | 8 | -7.8 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs QPR U23 (+2.2) | 0:1 vs QPR U23 (-1.9) |
17 | Colchester U23 | 25 | 16 | 24.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 18 | -7.3 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Watford U23 (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Sheffield Utd U23 (-1.4) |
18 | QPR U23 | 25 | 23 | 33.7 | -10.7Underperforming −− | 12 | -7.3 | -3.4 | 0:1 vs Millwall U23 (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Hull U23 (-2.1) |