Chance Ligahub →Chance Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mlada Boleslav | 12 | 21 | 14.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | +7.7 | -1.1 | 2:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Bohemians (-1.1) |
2 | Brno | 12 | 20 | 15.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 8 | +2.7 | +2.0 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Jablonec (-1.4) |
3 | Teplice | 12 | 18 | 14.0 | +4.0Outperforming | 12 | -0.3 | +4.3 | 0:1 vs Liberec (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Brno (-1.5) |
4 | Jablonec | 12 | 20 | 16.8 | +3.2Outperforming | 7 | +0.3 | +2.9 | 0:2 vs FK Pardubice (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Plzen (-1.3) |
5 | Sigma Olomouc | 12 | 21 | 18.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 4 | +2.1 | +0.9 | 2:3 vs Plzen (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Ostrava (-1.4) |
6 | Liberec | 11 | 20 | 17.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 5 | -1.8 | +4.3 | 1:3 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Slovacko (-2.1) |
7 | Bohemians | 11 | 16 | 13.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 13 | +3.6 | -1.1 | 0:2 vs Zlin (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Teplice (-1.2) |
8 | Slavia Prague | 12 | 28 | 25.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 1 | -1.3 | +3.5 | 0:3 vs Sparta Prague (+1.6) | 1:1 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.4) |
9 | Artis Brno | 11 | 9 | 9.4 | -0.4On expectation | 16 | -3.2 | +2.8 | 2:4 vs Hradec Kralove (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.1) |
10 | FK Pardubice | 12 | 14 | 14.8 | -0.8On expectation | 9 | -1.5 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Artis Brno (-1.8) |
11 | Sparta Prague | 12 | 22 | 23.3 | -1.3On expectation | 2 | +2.5 | -3.8 | 0:3 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.4) | 3:1 vs Brno (-1.9) |
12 | Hradec Kralove | 12 | 15 | 16.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -0.8 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Sparta Prague (+1.9) | 2:4 vs Artis Brno (-1.9) |
13 | Ostrava | 11 | 11 | 14.0 | -3.0Underperforming | 11 | +0.3 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.6) | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (-1.6) |
14 | Slovacko | 12 | 7 | 12.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.4 | -1.0 | 0:2 vs Liberec (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Brno (-1.4) |
15 | Plzen | 12 | 16 | 22.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 3 | -6.5 | +0.5 | 2:3 vs Jablonec (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Liberec (-2.0) |
16 | Zlin | 12 | 2 | 10.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -6.2 | -2.1 | 1:1 vs Jablonec (+0.3) | 0:2 vs Bohemians (-1.5) |