Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liberec | 1 | 3 | 0.8 | +2.3Outperforming | 15 | 0.0 | +2.3 | 1:3 vs Plzen (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Plzen (2.3) |
2 | Brno | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 14 | +2.1 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (2.1) |
3 | Jablonec | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 8 | +1.6 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Sigma Olomouc (1.6) |
4 | Teplice | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 7 | +1.5 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Bohemians (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Bohemians (1.5) |
5 | Ostrava | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 6 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 0:1 vs Zlin (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Zlin (1.4) |
6 | Mlada Boleslav | 1 | 3 | 1.6 | +1.4On expectation | 5 | 0.0 | +1.4 | 2:4 vs Artis Brno (+1.4) | 2:4 vs Artis Brno (1.4) |
7 | Hradec Kralove | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 4 | +1.3 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs FK Pardubice (+1.3) | 2:1 vs FK Pardubice (1.3) |
8 | Slavia Prague | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | +0.5On expectation | 1 | +0.5 | 0.0 | 5:1 vs Slovacko (+0.5) | 5:1 vs Slovacko (0.5) |
9 | Slovacko | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -0.4On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 5:1 vs Slavia Prague (+-0.4) | 5:1 vs Slavia Prague (-0.4) |
10 | FK Pardubice | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 13 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 2:1 vs Hradec Kralove (+-1.1) | 2:1 vs Hradec Kralove (-1.1) |
11 | Artis Brno | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 12 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 2:4 vs Mlada Boleslav (+-1.1) | 2:4 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.1) |
12 | Zlin | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 11 | -1.1 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Ostrava (+-1.1) | 0:1 vs Ostrava (-1.1) |
13 | Bohemians | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 10 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:1 vs Teplice (+-1.2) | 3:1 vs Teplice (-1.2) |
14 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 1.3 | -1.3On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | -1.3 | 2:1 vs Jablonec (+-1.3) | 2:1 vs Jablonec (-1.3) |
15 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9On expectation | 3 | 0.0 | -1.9 | 3:1 vs Brno (+-1.9) | 3:1 vs Brno (-1.9) |
16 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 2 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Liberec (+-2.0) | 1:3 vs Liberec (-2.0) |