Chance Ligahub →Chance Liga 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Liberec | 7 | 16 | 10.1 | +5.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | -0.7 | +6.6 | 1:3 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Teplice (-2.0) |
2 | Mlada Boleslav | 6 | 14 | 8.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 11 | +4.7 | +1.1 | 2:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.0) | 1:1 vs FK Pardubice (-0.2) |
3 | Brno | 7 | 13 | 7.8 | +5.2Outperforming ++ | 12 | +3.5 | +1.6 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Liberec (-1.4) |
4 | Teplice | 7 | 13 | 8.3 | +4.7Outperforming | 10 | +1.5 | +3.2 | 0:1 vs Liberec (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Brno (-1.5) |
5 | Jablonec | 7 | 13 | 10.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 6 | +2.7 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs FK Pardubice (+1.8) | 1:2 vs Liberec (-1.3) |
6 | Slavia Prague | 7 | 17 | 14.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | +0.4 | +1.8 | 0:3 vs Sparta Prague (+1.6) | 2:2 vs Bohemians (-1.3) |
7 | Hradec Kralove | 7 | 11 | 9.3 | +1.7On expectation | 7 | +4.5 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs Sparta Prague (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Brno (-1.3) |
8 | Sigma Olomouc | 7 | 13 | 11.4 | +1.6On expectation | 4 | +1.6 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs Slovacko (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Ostrava (-1.4) |
9 | Ostrava | 7 | 9 | 9.2 | -0.2On expectation | 8 | +1.7 | -1.9 | 1:0 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.6) | 4:0 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.2) |
10 | Bohemians | 6 | 6 | 6.5 | -0.5On expectation | 15 | -0.7 | +0.1 | 0:2 vs Zlin (+1.7) | 3:1 vs Teplice (-1.2) |
11 | Artis Brno | 7 | 4 | 5.9 | -1.9On expectation | 16 | -3.4 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (+2.0) | 2:4 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.1) |
12 | Plzen | 7 | 10 | 14.1 | -4.1Underperforming | 2 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0:3 vs Artis Brno (+0.9) | 1:3 vs Liberec (-2.0) |
13 | Slovacko | 7 | 3 | 7.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 13 | -2.5 | -1.8 | 1:1 vs Plzen (+0.5) | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (-1.2) |
14 | Sparta Prague | 7 | 9 | 13.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 3 | +0.0 | -4.3 | 0:4 vs Artis Brno (+0.8) | 3:1 vs Brno (-1.9) |
15 | FK Pardubice | 7 | 2 | 8.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 9 | -3.8 | -2.7 | 0:0 vs Slovacko (+-0.3) | 1:2 vs Artis Brno (-1.8) |
16 | Zlin | 7 | 0 | 6.6 | -6.6Underperforming −− | 14 | -4.8 | -1.7 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+-0.4) | 0:2 vs Bohemians (-1.5) |