Chance Ligahub →Chance Liga 2020-2021 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Chance Liga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 34; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | FK Pardubice | 34 | 52 | 35.2 | +16.8Outperforming ++ | 16 | +9.9 | +6.9 | 0:1 vs Slovacko (+2.4) | 1:0 vs Opava (-1.3) |
2 | Jablonec | 34 | 69 | 53.1 | +15.9Outperforming ++ | 5 | +10.2 | +5.7 | 1:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Brno (-2.1) |
3 | Slovacko | 34 | 63 | 52.8 | +10.2Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.4 | +8.8 | 4:0 vs Plzen (+2.0) | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (-2.2) |
4 | Slavia Prague | 34 | 86 | 76.1 | +9.9Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.3 | +3.5 | 0:1 vs Plzen (+1.4) | 1:1 vs Karvina (-1.6) |
5 | Sparta Prague | 34 | 74 | 66.3 | +7.7Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.6 | +4.1 | 1:2 vs Slovacko (+1.5) | 2:4 vs Ceske Budejovice (-2.2) |
6 | Karvina | 34 | 39 | 37.5 | +1.4On expectation | 14 | -4.3 | +5.7 | 0:1 vs Plzen (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Pribram (-2.0) |
7 | Sigma Olomouc | 34 | 45 | 45.0 | +0.0On expectation | 9 | -5.3 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Liberec (+2.4) | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (-1.8) |
8 | Ostrava | 34 | 49 | 49.5 | -0.5On expectation | 7 | +1.8 | -2.3 | 1:0 vs Liberec (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Slovacko (-1.5) |
9 | Bohemians | 34 | 43 | 44.4 | -1.4On expectation | 10 | +2.8 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Sparta Prague (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Slovacko (-1.4) |
10 | Liberec | 34 | 52 | 53.7 | -1.7On expectation | 4 | -2.4 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (-2.1) |
11 | Ceske Budejovice | 34 | 38 | 40.0 | -1.9On expectation | 12 | -3.8 | +1.9 | 2:4 vs Sparta Prague (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Opava (-1.8) |
12 | Pribram | 34 | 25 | 27.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 18 | -3.4 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs Zlin (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Teplice (-1.3) |
13 | Mlada Boleslav | 34 | 39 | 45.4 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 8 | -6.1 | -0.2 | 0:1 vs Slovacko (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Teplice (-1.8) |
14 | Teplice | 34 | 30 | 38.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 13 | -5.0 | -3.2 | 0:2 vs Mlada Boleslav (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Liberec (-1.9) |
15 | Zlin | 34 | 32 | 40.4 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 11 | -8.3 | -0.1 | 1:0 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Pribram (-2.2) |
16 | Plzen | 34 | 58 | 68.5 | -10.6Underperforming −− | 2 | +0.8 | -11.3 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Karvina (-2.4) |
17 | Brno | 34 | 26 | 37.4 | -11.4Underperforming −− | 15 | -11.0 | -0.5 | 0:1 vs Jablonec (+2.3) | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (-1.6) |
18 | Opava | 34 | 17 | 30.5 | -13.5Underperforming −− | 17 | -7.5 | -6.0 | 0:1 vs Ceske Budejovice (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Karvina (-1.4) |