Chance Ligahub →Chance Liga 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Regular phase only. Chance Liga splits into championship and relegation groups after round 30; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 76 | 64.1 | +11.9Outperforming ++ | 2 | +6.0 | +5.8 | 0:1 vs Ostrava (+1.4) | 3:1 vs Mlada Boleslav (-1.9) |
2 | Plzen | 30 | 62 | 57.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 3 | -0.3 | +5.1 | 1:2 vs Slavia Prague (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Karvina (-2.5) |
3 | Teplice | 30 | 36 | 31.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 12 | +2.3 | +1.9 | 1:0 vs Plzen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Hradec Kralove (-1.6) |
4 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 72 | 68.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 1 | +1.0 | +2.5 | 2:3 vs Ostrava (+1.2) | 1:2 vs Plzen (-2.0) |
5 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 37 | 34.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 11 | +4.3 | -1.7 | 0:1 vs Teplice (+1.9) | 4:0 vs Zlin (-1.5) |
6 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 44 | 42.7 | +1.3On expectation | 6 | +1.1 | +0.2 | 3:1 vs Sparta Prague (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Teplice (-1.7) |
7 | Liberec | 30 | 40 | 39.6 | +0.3On expectation | 8 | +6.7 | -6.3 | 1:3 vs Plzen (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Bohemians (-1.7) |
8 | Ostrava | 30 | 45 | 46.4 | -1.4On expectation | 4 | -6.7 | +5.3 | 1:3 vs Mlada Boleslav (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Jablonec (-1.9) |
9 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 28 | 30.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 13 | -7.7 | +5.4 | 1:2 vs Slovacko (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Zlin (-1.8) |
10 | Zlin | 30 | 25 | 27.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 16 | +1.0 | -3.7 | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Karvina (-1.5) |
11 | Karvina | 30 | 25 | 28.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 15 | -2.9 | -0.4 | 0:1 vs Plzen (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Teplice (-1.6) |
12 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 37 | 40.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 7 | -2.4 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Ostrava (+2.1) | 0:2 vs FK Pardubice (-1.9) |
13 | Bohemians | 30 | 35 | 38.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 9 | -3.1 | -0.6 | 0:1 vs Liberec (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Teplice (-1.9) |
14 | Slovacko | 30 | 41 | 44.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 5 | -4.5 | +0.8 | 1:4 vs Plzen (+2.4) | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (-2.2) |
15 | Ceske Budejovice | 30 | 24 | 30.0 | -6.0Underperforming −− | 14 | +1.1 | -7.1 | 3:0 vs Ostrava (+2.0) | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (-1.8) |
16 | Jablonec | 30 | 30 | 38.3 | -8.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.1 | -4.2 | 0:1 vs Ostrava (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Bohemians (-1.6) |