Fastest starters
Zlin26%
11 of their 43 goals before 15′ — highest share in the league
Late-goal kings
Teplice35%
14 of their 40 goals after 75′ — highest share in the league
🏆
Slavia Prague are 2025-2026 champions — 80 pts
Their xPTS said 75.0: a title won, outperforming the market.
2026-27
next season soon
The season in numbers
Least bad strategy
-8.5uEven the best blind strategy (ht over 1.5) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Most underrated by results
-18.5 ptsOstrava produced performances worth 18 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Fast starts
36%Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.4' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Chance Liga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Prague | 80 | 75.0 | +5.0 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 76 | 68.3 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | Plzen | 63 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
1X2 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 2.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartOver/Under 1.5 Bankroll Trackerfull interactive chartFirst Goal Time Trackerfull interactive chartTeam Goal Zones Heat Mapfull interactive chartPerformance vs Marketpoints vs xPTSGoals Tablescoring breakdown
Follow the Chance Liga
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+