Chance Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 68 | 60.0 | +8.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.6 | +7.4 | 0:1 vs Plzen (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Liberec (-2.3) |
2 | Bohemians | 30 | 48 | 40.1 | +7.9Outperforming ++ | 8 | -1.0 | +8.9 | 1:2 vs Plzen (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Ceske Budejovice (-1.9) |
3 | Ceske Budejovice | 30 | 35 | 30.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 14 | +1.3 | +3.3 | 1:0 vs Slavia Prague (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Teplice (-1.8) |
4 | Teplice | 30 | 32 | 28.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 15 | +3.2 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (+2.4) | 0:2 vs Ceske Budejovice (-1.7) |
5 | Plzen | 30 | 57 | 55.4 | +1.6On expectation | 3 | +0.4 | +1.3 | 3:0 vs Slavia Prague (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Hradec Kralove (-2.3) |
6 | Liberec | 30 | 38 | 37.5 | +0.5On expectation | 11 | -1.9 | +2.4 | 1:2 vs Sparta Prague (+2.5) | 1:3 vs Bohemians (-1.6) |
7 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 38 | 37.6 | +0.4On expectation | 10 | -5.0 | +5.3 | 1:2 vs Plzen (+2.5) | 1:3 vs FK Pardubice (-2.1) |
8 | Slovacko | 30 | 46 | 45.9 | +0.1On expectation | 4 | +0.7 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Jablonec (-2.0) |
9 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 28 | 28.2 | -0.2On expectation | 16 | +3.1 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Mlada Boleslav (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Ceske Budejovice (-1.6) |
10 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 66 | 66.8 | -0.8On expectation | 1 | +6.6 | -7.4 | 4:0 vs Sparta Prague (+1.2) | 1:0 vs Ceske Budejovice (-2.4) |
11 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 41 | 41.9 | -0.9On expectation | 6 | -4.6 | +3.6 | 2:0 vs Slavia Prague (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Teplice (-2.2) |
12 | Brno | 30 | 31 | 34.5 | -3.5Underperforming | 12 | -4.4 | +0.9 | 0:2 vs Sigma Olomouc (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Bohemians (-1.6) |
13 | Jablonec | 30 | 35 | 38.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 9 | -2.1 | -1.7 | 0:2 vs Slovacko (+2.2) | 0:3 vs Bohemians (-1.6) |
14 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 37 | 42.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -4.8 | -0.9 | 1:3 vs Liberec (+1.8) | 0:1 vs FK Pardubice (-2.1) |
15 | Ostrava | 30 | 35 | 40.8 | -5.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -4.9 | -0.9 | 0:1 vs Slovacko (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Teplice (-2.0) |
16 | Zlin | 30 | 26 | 32.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 13 | -0.1 | -6.0 | 4:1 vs Bohemians (+1.9) | 2:3 vs Brno (-1.5) |
