Chance Ligahub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Plzen | 30 | 72 | 53.9 | +18.1Outperforming ++ | 3 | +10.1 | +7.9 | 1:2 vs Bohemians (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Hradec Kralove (-1.8) |
2 | Slovacko | 30 | 59 | 47.9 | +11.1Outperforming ++ | 4 | +9.5 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs Liberec (+1.9) | 1:0 vs Zlin (-1.8) |
3 | Slavia Prague | 30 | 73 | 65.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.3 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs Slovacko (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Karvina (-2.6) |
4 | Ostrava | 30 | 51 | 43.9 | +7.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +0.7 | +6.5 | 2:3 vs Mlada Boleslav (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Karvina (-2.1) |
5 | Sparta Prague | 30 | 66 | 59.4 | +6.6Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.4 | -0.9 | 1:0 vs Slavia Prague (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Sigma Olomouc (-1.8) |
6 | Hradec Kralove | 30 | 40 | 35.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 12 | +4.7 | +0.3 | 1:0 vs Plzen (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Liberec (-1.1) |
7 | Ceske Budejovice | 30 | 36 | 35.2 | +0.8On expectation | 11 | +8.9 | -8.1 | 3:2 vs Slovacko (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Hradec Kralove (-1.6) |
8 | Sigma Olomouc | 30 | 37 | 38.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | +2.6 | -3.8 | 2:0 vs Sparta Prague (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Slovacko (-1.3) |
9 | Teplice | 30 | 27 | 28.5 | -1.5On expectation | 14 | -1.6 | +0.1 | 2:4 vs Ostrava (+2.3) | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (-1.7) |
10 | Zlin | 30 | 30 | 32.1 | -2.1Underperforming | 13 | +0.3 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Liberec (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Bohemians (-1.6) |
11 | Liberec | 30 | 37 | 39.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 8 | -0.3 | -2.3 | 1:0 vs Slavia Prague (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Teplice (-1.8) |
12 | FK Pardubice | 30 | 24 | 27.7 | -3.7Underperforming | 16 | -2.6 | -1.1 | 2:3 vs Mlada Boleslav (+2.5) | 1:5 vs Sigma Olomouc (-1.3) |
13 | Mlada Boleslav | 30 | 38 | 46.1 | -8.1Underperforming −− | 5 | -3.7 | -4.4 | 0:1 vs Jablonec (+1.7) | 2:3 vs FK Pardubice (-2.3) |
14 | Karvina | 30 | 17 | 27.8 | -10.8Underperforming −− | 15 | -7.2 | -3.5 | 0:1 vs Slavia Prague (+2.8) | 2:3 vs Zlin (-1.5) |
15 | Bohemians | 30 | 26 | 37.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -4.0 | -7.7 | 1:3 vs Zlin (+1.8) | 1:2 vs FK Pardubice (-1.9) |
16 | Jablonec | 30 | 26 | 41.8 | -15.8Underperforming −− | 7 | -7.7 | -8.2 | 1:2 vs Bohemians (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Teplice (-2.0) |
