Jupiler Pro League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gent | 7 | 19 | 10.5 | +8.5Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.7 | +2.8 | 2:1 vs Club Brugge KV (+2.2) | 1:1 vs Genk (-0.2) |
2 | Charleroi | 7 | 18 | 11.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.3 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+1.6) | 2:3 vs Royale Union SG (-1.0) |
3 | Royale Union SG | 7 | 19 | 13.9 | +5.1Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.6 | +4.5 | 0:3 vs St. Truiden (+1.3) | 0:0 vs Waregem (-1.1) |
4 | Westerlo | 7 | 10 | 7.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 16 | +0.7 | +1.9 | 0:2 vs St. Truiden (+2.2) | 4:0 vs Lommel SK (-1.5) |
5 | Waregem | 7 | 11 | 8.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 10 | +2.0 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Genk (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Charleroi (-1.3) |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 18 | 15.8 | +2.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.7 | -0.5 | 3:0 vs Genk (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Gent (-2.0) |
7 | Lommel SK | 7 | 8 | 5.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 18 | +0.1 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Charleroi (-0.9) |
8 | Anderlecht | 7 | 13 | 11.8 | +1.3On expectation | 3 | +2.5 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs KV Mechelen (+1.2) | 1:0 vs Beveren (-1.5) |
9 | St. Liege | 7 | 11 | 9.9 | +1.1On expectation | 8 | +2.2 | -1.1 | 1:2 vs Leuven (+1.6) | 4:2 vs Westerlo (-1.4) |
10 | Beveren | 7 | 9 | 8.7 | +0.3On expectation | 9 | +5.0 | -4.6 | 1:0 vs Anderlecht (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Kortrijk (-1.5) |
11 | Antwerp | 7 | 7 | 7.5 | -0.5On expectation | 15 | -0.6 | +0.1 | 0:3 vs Kortrijk (+1.7) | 1:4 vs St. Truiden (-1.4) |
12 | Genk | 7 | 9 | 11.0 | -2.0On expectation | 6 | +1.3 | -3.3 | 4:0 vs Beveren (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Waregem (-1.6) |
13 | St. Truiden | 7 | 8 | 11.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 5 | -3.2 | -0.2 | 1:4 vs Antwerp (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Westerlo (-2.0) |
14 | RAAL La Louviere | 7 | 4 | 7.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 14 | -0.1 | -3.7 | 3:0 vs Kortrijk (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Gent (-1.2) |
15 | Leuven | 7 | 4 | 7.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 13 | -1.0 | -2.8 | 2:0 vs RAAL La Louviere (+1.4) | 1:2 vs St. Liege (-1.4) |
16 | Kortrijk | 7 | 3 | 7.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 17 | -2.1 | -2.2 | 1:0 vs Beveren (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Antwerp (-1.4) |
17 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 3 | 8.3 | -5.3Underperforming −− | 12 | -3.5 | -1.8 | 2:2 vs St. Liege (+-0.3) | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (-2.0) |
18 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 8.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 11 | -2.9 | -2.5 | 2:2 vs RAAL La Louviere (+-0.2) | 0:4 vs Westerlo (-1.7) |
