Jupiler Pro League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gent | 11 | 28 | 17.1 | +10.9Outperforming ++ | 7 | +8.3 | +2.6 | 2:1 vs Club Brugge KV (+2.2) | 2:0 vs Lommel SK (-1.8) |
2 | Charleroi | 11 | 27 | 18.1 | +8.9Outperforming ++ | 3 | +3.3 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Waregem (+1.6) | 3:0 vs Antwerp (-1.7) |
3 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 29 | 22.8 | +6.3Outperforming ++ | 2 | +0.9 | +5.3 | 2:3 vs Charleroi (+1.3) | 1:1 vs Leuven (-1.4) |
4 | Lommel SK | 11 | 16 | 9.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 18 | +2.0 | +4.2 | 0:1 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Charleroi (-0.9) |
5 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 28 | 24.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 1 | +2.4 | +1.1 | 3:0 vs Genk (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Gent (-2.0) |
6 | Anderlecht | 11 | 20 | 17.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 5 | +3.5 | -1.0 | 1:2 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Beveren (-1.5) |
7 | Westerlo | 11 | 14 | 12.9 | +1.1On expectation | 12 | -0.1 | +1.2 | 0:2 vs St. Truiden (+2.2) | 4:0 vs Lommel SK (-1.5) |
8 | Leuven | 11 | 12 | 12.4 | -0.4On expectation | 15 | -0.3 | -0.1 | 1:2 vs St. Truiden (+2.1) | 1:2 vs St. Liege (-1.4) |
9 | St. Liege | 11 | 15 | 15.8 | -0.8On expectation | 8 | +1.2 | -1.9 | 1:2 vs Leuven (+1.6) | 4:2 vs Westerlo (-1.4) |
10 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 12 | 13.2 | -1.2On expectation | 9 | +0.8 | -2.0 | 1:0 vs Genk (+2.0) | 0:4 vs Westerlo (-1.7) |
11 | Antwerp | 11 | 11 | 12.6 | -1.6On expectation | 14 | +0.6 | -2.1 | 3:0 vs Charleroi (+2.0) | 1:4 vs St. Truiden (-1.4) |
12 | Waregem | 11 | 11 | 12.8 | -1.8On expectation | 13 | +0.0 | -1.8 | 2:1 vs Genk (+1.9) | 3:0 vs RAAL La Louviere (-1.5) |
13 | Genk | 11 | 15 | 17.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 4 | +3.1 | -5.8 | 2:1 vs St. Liege (+1.1) | 1:0 vs KV Mechelen (-1.7) |
14 | Beveren | 11 | 10 | 13.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 10 | +2.5 | -5.6 | 1:0 vs Anderlecht (+1.8) | 1:3 vs Lommel SK (-1.8) |
15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 9 | 12.9 | -3.9Underperforming | 11 | -3.2 | -0.7 | 0:1 vs RAAL La Louviere (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Lommel SK (-2.0) |
16 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 7 | 11.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 16 | -0.2 | -4.4 | 3:0 vs Waregem (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (-1.3) |
17 | St. Truiden | 11 | 11 | 17.3 | -6.3Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.0 | -2.3 | 1:4 vs Antwerp (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Westerlo (-2.0) |
18 | Kortrijk | 11 | 4 | 11.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 17 | -3.6 | -3.4 | 1:0 vs Beveren (+1.7) | 1:3 vs KV Mechelen (-1.5) |
