Jupiler Pro Leaguehub →Jupiler Pro League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | St. Truiden | 40 | 71 | 53.9 | +17.1Outperforming ++ | 6 | +10.3 | +6.9 | 2:1 vs Royale Union SG (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Westerlo (-1.6) |
2 | St. Liege | 40 | 57 | 45.7 | +11.3Outperforming ++ | 12 | -4.4 | +15.7 | 0:3 vs Genk (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Leuven (-1.6) |
3 | Royale Union SG | 40 | 86 | 78.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 2 | +13.3 | -5.5 | 1:3 vs St. Truiden (+1.5) | 2:1 vs St. Truiden (-1.7) |
4 | Club Brugge KV | 40 | 88 | 80.4 | +7.6Outperforming ++ | 1 | +6.3 | +1.3 | 3:5 vs Genk (+1.5) | 2:3 vs RAAL La Louviere (-2.3) |
5 | KV Mechelen | 40 | 51 | 44.2 | +6.8Outperforming ++ | 13 | +2.7 | +4.1 | 0:1 vs Genk (+2.3) | 1:3 vs St. Truiden (-1.6) |
6 | Waregem | 36 | 48 | 43.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 14 | +3.3 | +1.5 | 2:3 vs Anderlecht (+2.2) | 0:1 vs St. Liege (-1.8) |
7 | Gent | 40 | 51 | 50.3 | +0.7On expectation | 9 | +1.4 | -0.7 | 2:3 vs Charleroi (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Leuven (-1.7) |
8 | Westerlo | 40 | 52 | 51.5 | +0.5On expectation | 7 | -4.2 | +4.7 | 0:1 vs Charleroi (+2.1) | 0:2 vs St. Liege (-1.7) |
9 | Antwerp | 40 | 48 | 49.5 | -1.5On expectation | 10 | -0.7 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Club Brugge KV (+2.5) | 0:5 vs St. Liege (-1.7) |
10 | Anderlecht | 40 | 55 | 59.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 4 | +1.6 | -5.9 | 1:0 vs Royale Union SG (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Waregem (-1.9) |
11 | Charleroi | 40 | 51 | 56.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -8.1 | +2.6 | 0:1 vs Genk (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Westerlo (-1.8) |
12 | Leuven | 40 | 40 | 46.4 | -6.4Underperforming −− | 11 | -7.1 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Charleroi (+2.1) | 1:2 vs RAAL La Louviere (-1.7) |
13 | RAAL La Louviere | 36 | 34 | 41.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 15 | -4.9 | -2.3 | 2:3 vs Club Brugge KV (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Dender (-1.8) |
14 | Genk | 40 | 59 | 67.8 | -8.8Underperforming −− | 3 | -8.4 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Westerlo (+1.6) | 0:3 vs St. Liege (-2.2) |
15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 36 | 41 | 50.4 | -9.4Underperforming −− | 8 | -14.5 | +5.1 | 2:3 vs Anderlecht (+1.9) | 2:3 vs KV Mechelen (-2.0) |
16 | Dender | 36 | 25 | 37.3 | -12.3Underperforming −− | 16 | -10.3 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs RAAL La Louviere (+2.0) | 0:1 vs St. Liege (-1.5) |