Jupiler Pro Leaguehub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Royale Union SG | 34 | 77 | 63.1 | +13.9Outperforming ++ | 4 | -1.3 | +15.1 | 1:3 vs Anderlecht (+1.9) | 1:3 vs Leuven (-2.2) |
2 | Antwerp | 34 | 63 | 50.5 | +12.4Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.9 | +9.5 | 1:2 vs Royale Union SG (+2.2) | 2:1 vs Waregem (-1.7) |
3 | St. Truiden | 34 | 51 | 41.3 | +9.7Outperforming ++ | 11 | +0.2 | +9.5 | 0:1 vs Royale Union SG (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Waregem (-1.7) |
4 | Charleroi | 34 | 54 | 46.7 | +7.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | -0.5 | +7.8 | 2:3 vs Gent (+2.3) | 0:2 vs KV Mechelen (-1.7) |
5 | KV Mechelen | 34 | 52 | 45.3 | +6.7Outperforming ++ | 9 | +8.2 | -1.6 | 2:1 vs Club Brugge KV (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Eupen (-1.8) |
6 | Club Brugge KV | 34 | 72 | 69.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 1 | -0.9 | +3.3 | 0:1 vs Royale Union SG (+1.4) | 2:0 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (-1.9) |
7 | Leuven | 34 | 41 | 39.6 | +1.4On expectation | 12 | +2.3 | -0.8 | 1:3 vs Royale Union SG (+2.4) | 1:3 vs Seraing (-1.8) |
8 | Waregem | 34 | 32 | 30.8 | +1.2On expectation | 18 | +0.8 | +0.4 | 0:2 vs Oostende (+2.2) | 2:4 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (-1.3) |
9 | Oostende | 34 | 37 | 36.0 | +1.0On expectation | 15 | -3.2 | +4.2 | 3:4 vs Genk (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Waregem (-2.0) |
10 | Anderlecht | 34 | 64 | 65.1 | -1.1On expectation | 2 | -0.2 | -0.9 | 1:3 vs Charleroi (+1.5) | 0:2 vs Cercle Brugge KSV (-1.9) |
11 | Gent | 34 | 62 | 63.7 | -1.7On expectation | 3 | +1.8 | -3.4 | 1:2 vs Club Brugge KV (+1.8) | 2:3 vs Charleroi (-2.1) |
12 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 34 | 45 | 46.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | -3.9 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Anderlecht (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Oostende (-2.0) |
13 | Kortrijk | 34 | 37 | 39.0 | -2.0On expectation | 13 | -2.8 | +0.8 | 1:0 vs Gent (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Beerschot VA (-1.5) |
14 | Seraing | 34 | 28 | 33.9 | -5.9Underperforming −− | 16 | -1.6 | -4.3 | 1:2 vs Eupen (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Kortrijk (-1.4) |
15 | Eupen | 34 | 32 | 38.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 14 | -6.0 | -0.5 | 1:3 vs KV Mechelen (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Seraing (-2.0) |
16 | St. Liege | 34 | 36 | 43.3 | -7.3Underperforming −− | 10 | -10.4 | +3.1 | 2:3 vs Antwerp (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Waregem (-1.9) |
17 | Genk | 34 | 51 | 58.5 | -7.5Underperforming −− | 5 | +0.5 | -8.0 | 1:2 vs Kortrijk (+1.5) | 3:4 vs Oostende (-2.1) |
18 | Beerschot VA | 34 | 16 | 32.6 | -16.6Underperforming −− | 17 | -5.9 | -10.7 | 2:0 vs Genk (+2.0) | 0:2 vs Oostende (-1.7) |
