Internacional vs Remo
Serie A Betano, Brazil · 2026-08-19 · 01:00 CET
LLLDD
WLWLDThe score model makes a Internacional win the most likely outcome at 54%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 51%). The data's biggest gap to the market: HT over 1.5 goals — 41.8% vs 35.6% implied (+6.2 pts). Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Internacional 1.74 – 0.99 Remo.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional win | 54.4% | 59.5% | -5.1% |
| Draw | 24.6% | 23.7% | +0.9% |
| Remo win | 21.0% | 16.8% | +4.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.2% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% | 52.0% | -0.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.3% | 31.1% | -1.8% |
| Both teams to score | 52.4% | 50.4% | +2.0% |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.8% | — | — |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.8% | 35.6% | +6.2% |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Internacional 52.1 / Remo 17.8 weighted matches · positive divergence means the data leans above the market — the market usually knows why.
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My record →Flat 1u, average market odds, settled either way. Not betting advice — a record, like ours.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.