Internacional vs Remo
Serie A Betano, Brazil · 2026-08-19 · 01:00 CET
DLLWL
LLLLLThe score model made an Internacional win the most likely outcome at 53%, split on goals (Over 2.5 at 50%). It finished 1:1 (HT 1:0) — the most likely outcome did not come in. Generated from the data — the market usually knows why it disagrees.
Scoreline probabilities
Priced from the same score distribution as every market below.
First goal · head-to-head
Full Market Baseline (Dixon-Coles)
One statistical model of the final score — every probability below derives from the same score distribution, so they can never contradict each other. Expected goals: Internacional 1.67 – 0.99 Remo.
| Market | Data % | Implied | Divergence | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional win | 52.8% | 63.4% | -10.6% | ✗ |
| Draw | 25.3% | 22.3% | +3.0% | ✓ |
| Remo win | 22.0% | 14.4% | +7.6% | ✗ |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% | — | — | ✓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% | 52.9% | -3.3% | ✗ |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.7% | 32.0% | -4.3% | ✗ |
| Both teams to score | 51.5% | 49.3% | +2.2% | ✓ |
| HT over 0.5 goals | 75.5% | — | — | ✓ |
| HT over 1.5 goals | 41.1% | 36.0% | +5.1% | ✗ |
Model dc_v2.0 · rating sample: Internacional 52.9 / Remo 18.7 weighted matches · positive divergence means the model sits above the market — descriptive, not a recommendation; the market usually knows why.
How to read this page: probabilities are what this league's historical first-goal-time and scoring data alone imply — they know nothing about injuries, motivation or weather, and the market usually does. We publish every output, including when the data and the market agree. Statistics, not betting advice — never bet more than you can afford to lose.