Brazil Serie A predictions 2026

Every upcoming Brazil Serie A match with the model's probabilities next to the market price. Pick a market above the table to see home, draw and away, goals or both-teams-to-score for every fixture.

Brazil Serie A 2026 so far: home wins 48%, draws 28%, away wins 24%; over 2.5 goals in 52% and both teams scored in 59% of 296 matches. Results to 11 Oct.

Best1X2O/U 2.5HT 1.5BTTSAll≥ +2%≥ +5%

• Flamengo RJ – GremioToday 23:30
  DrawModel 15.9%Implied 12.7%▲ +3.2%
• Athletico-PR – VascoToday 23:30
  Over 2.5Model 57.4%Implied 57.5%-0.1%
• Sao Paulo – CorinthiansTomorrow 01:30
  Home winModel 49.5%Implied 43.9%▲ +5.7%
• Botafogo RJ – Atletico-MGTomorrow 01:30
  Away winModel 28.9%Implied 20.3%▲ +8.7%
• Palmeiras – RemoTomorrow 23:30
  BTTS: YesModel 53.1%Implied 48.8%▲ +4.3%
• Cruzeiro – BahiaFri 6 01:30
  Under 3.5Model 66.1%Implied 62.9%▲ +3.2%
• Vitoria – FluminenseSun 8 00:00
  Away winModel 45.7%Implied 39.8%▲ +5.9%

#	Match	Date▲	Time	Market	Model %	Implied	Divergence	Odds
1	Flamengo RJ–GremioSerie A	Today	23:30	Draw	15.9%	12.7%	▲ +3.2%	7.89
2	Athletico-PR–VascoSerie A	Today	23:30	Over 2.5	57.4%	57.5%	-0.1%	1.74
3	Sao Paulo–CorinthiansSerie A	Tomorrow	01:30	Home win	49.5%	43.9%	▲ +5.7%	2.28
4	Botafogo RJ–Atletico-MGSerie A	Tomorrow	01:30	Away win	28.9%	20.3%	▲ +8.7%	4.93
5	Palmeiras–RemoSerie A	Tomorrow	23:30	BTTS: Yes	53.1%	48.8%	▲ +4.3%	2.05
6	Cruzeiro–BahiaSerie A	Fri 6	01:30	Under 3.5	66.1%	62.9%	▲ +3.2%	1.59
7	Vitoria–FluminenseSerie A	Sun 8	00:00	Away win	45.7%	39.8%	▲ +5.9%	2.51

Divergence = model probability − market implied (margin removed) · descriptive, not a recommendationClick a row for the full match breakdown

These rankings come from historical data alone — the market usually knows more. Every prediction is logged pre-match and settled in public. Statistics, not betting advice. 18+ · never stake more than you can afford to lose.