Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thun | 1 | 3 | 0.9 | +2.0Outperforming | 9 | 0.0 | +2.0 | 1:3 vs Luzern (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Luzern (2.1) |
2 | Basel | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 7 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 0:1 vs Servette (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Servette (1.7) |
3 | Young Boys | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 5 | +1.2 | 0.0 | 4:2 vs Sion (+1.2) | 4:2 vs Sion (1.2) |
4 | Lugano | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 2 | +1.0 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Vaduz (+1.0) | 2:1 vs Vaduz (1.0) |
5 | St. Gallen | 1 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9On expectation | 1 | +0.9 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Zurich (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Zurich (0.9) |
6 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +0.2On expectation | 10 | 0.0 | +0.2 | 1:1 vs Lausanne (+0.2) | 1:1 vs Lausanne (0.2) |
7 | Zurich | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | -0.7 | 2:1 vs St. Gallen (+-0.7) | 2:1 vs St. Gallen (-0.7) |
8 | Vaduz | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Lugano (+-0.8) | 2:1 vs Lugano (-0.8) |
9 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.9On expectation | 3 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Grasshoppers (+-0.9) | 1:1 vs Grasshoppers (-0.9) |
10 | Sion | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 8 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4:2 vs Young Boys (+-1.0) | 4:2 vs Young Boys (-1.0) |
11 | Servette | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 6 | -1.5 | 0.0 | 0:1 vs Basel (+-1.5) | 0:1 vs Basel (-1.5) |
12 | Luzern | 1 | 0 | 1.8 | -1.8On expectation | 4 | -1.8 | 0.0 | 1:3 vs Thun (+-1.8) | 1:3 vs Thun (-1.8) |