Super League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lugano | 6 | 18 | 10.2 | +7.8Outperforming ++ | 4 | +3.5 | +4.4 | 1:2 vs Sion (+1.7) | 5:0 vs Zurich (0.9) |
2 | Sion | 6 | 12 | 9.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 5 | +1.7 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Basel (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Lugano (-1.5) |
3 | Young Boys | 7 | 15 | 13.9 | +1.1On expectation | 1 | -0.3 | +1.4 | 0:6 vs Thun (+1.2) | 3:3 vs Luzern (-1.1) |
4 | Basel | 7 | 10 | 9.2 | +0.8On expectation | 6 | -3.0 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lausanne (-1.7) |
5 | Thun | 6 | 7 | 6.5 | +0.5On expectation | 11 | -1.7 | +2.2 | 3:4 vs St. Gallen (+2.2) | 4:2 vs Basel (-1.1) |
6 | Luzern | 7 | 9 | 8.9 | +0.1On expectation | 7 | +0.8 | -0.7 | 1:0 vs Lausanne (+1.3) | 1:3 vs Thun (-1.8) |
7 | Zurich | 7 | 7 | 6.9 | +0.1On expectation | 10 | -0.1 | +0.2 | 2:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Basel (-1.3) |
8 | St. Gallen | 6 | 10 | 10.7 | -0.7On expectation | 2 | -1.8 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs Servette (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Grasshoppers (-2.0) |
9 | Grasshoppers | 6 | 5 | 5.8 | -0.8On expectation | 12 | +0.9 | -1.6 | 2:0 vs St. Gallen (+2.2) | 5:2 vs Vaduz (-1.1) |
10 | Vaduz | 7 | 6 | 7.4 | -1.4On expectation | 9 | +1.8 | -3.1 | 3:1 vs Lausanne (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Luzern (-1.1) |
11 | Lausanne | 7 | 6 | 8.8 | -2.8Underperforming | 8 | -2.5 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Basel (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Zurich (-1.7) |
12 | Servette | 6 | 4 | 10.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 3 | -3.1 | -3.1 | 2:1 vs Grasshoppers (+0.9) | 2:1 vs Zurich (-1.8) |
