Super League 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Lugano | 9 | 25 | 15.0 | +10.0Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.4 | +5.7 | 1:2 vs Sion (+1.7) | 2:2 vs Young Boys (-0.6) |
2 | Sion | 9 | 19 | 14.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 3 | +0.5 | +3.6 | 0:3 vs St. Gallen (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Lugano (-1.5) |
3 | Zurich | 9 | 11 | 8.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 11 | +1.6 | +0.5 | 2:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Basel (-1.3) |
4 | Young Boys | 9 | 19 | 17.1 | +1.9On expectation | 1 | +0.6 | +1.2 | 0:6 vs Thun (+1.2) | 3:3 vs Luzern (-1.2) |
5 | Basel | 9 | 13 | 11.7 | +1.3On expectation | 7 | -4.3 | +5.6 | 0:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Lausanne (-1.7) |
6 | Luzern | 9 | 12 | 12.3 | -0.3On expectation | 6 | +0.3 | -0.6 | 1:0 vs Lausanne (+1.3) | 1:3 vs Thun (-1.8) |
7 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.6On expectation | 12 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 2:0 vs St. Gallen (+2.2) | 5:2 vs Vaduz (-1.1) |
8 | Thun | 9 | 10 | 11.2 | -1.2On expectation | 8 | -5.0 | +3.9 | 3:4 vs St. Gallen (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Grasshoppers (-1.8) |
9 | St. Gallen | 9 | 13 | 14.8 | -1.8On expectation | 4 | -3.3 | +1.4 | 0:2 vs Servette (+1.8) | 2:0 vs Grasshoppers (-2.0) |
10 | Servette | 9 | 10 | 13.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 5 | -3.1 | -0.7 | 2:4 vs Thun (+1.8) | 2:1 vs Zurich (-1.8) |
11 | Vaduz | 9 | 6 | 10.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 10 | +0.4 | -4.5 | 3:1 vs Lausanne (+1.4) | 2:1 vs Zurich (-1.4) |
12 | Lausanne | 9 | 6 | 11.0 | -5.0Underperforming | 9 | -4.6 | -0.3 | 0:1 vs Basel (+2.0) | 2:3 vs Zurich (-1.7) |
