Super Leaguehub →Super League 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Thun | 38 | 75 | 56.6 | +18.4Outperforming ++ | 5 | +6.0 | +12.4 | 0:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 2:1 vs Zurich (-2.0) |
2 | St. Gallen | 38 | 70 | 54.1 | +15.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | +1.2 | +14.7 | 2:1 vs Basel (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Zurich (-1.8) |
3 | Lugano | 38 | 67 | 58.1 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 3 | +6.9 | +1.9 | 0:1 vs Basel (+2.1) | 1:3 vs St. Gallen (-1.8) |
4 | Sion | 38 | 63 | 54.3 | +8.7Outperforming ++ | 7 | +3.0 | +5.8 | 4:0 vs Lugano (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Thun (-1.6) |
5 | Aarau | 1 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4On expectation | 13 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Grasshoppers (+-0.4) | 0:0 vs Grasshoppers (-0.4) |
6 | Luzern | 38 | 53 | 54.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -8.8 | +7.0 | 1:2 vs Basel (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Winterthur (-2.3) |
7 | Servette | 38 | 53 | 57.5 | -4.5Underperforming | 4 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 2:4 vs St. Gallen (+1.8) | 4:2 vs Winterthur (-1.9) |
8 | Young Boys | 38 | 55 | 59.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 2 | -2.7 | -2.3 | 1:2 vs Luzern (+1.8) | 2:6 vs Grasshoppers (-2.0) |
9 | Zurich | 38 | 38 | 44.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 10 | -3.4 | -2.8 | 2:1 vs Thun (+2.2) | 3:0 vs Grasshoppers (-1.7) |
10 | Basel | 38 | 56 | 62.8 | -6.8Underperforming −− | 1 | -4.3 | -2.5 | 3:1 vs Thun (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Luzern (-2.0) |
11 | Winterthur | 38 | 23 | 31.2 | -8.2Underperforming −− | 12 | -4.1 | -4.1 | 1:2 vs Luzern (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Grasshoppers (-1.3) |
12 | Grasshoppers | 39 | 34 | 43.6 | -9.6Underperforming −− | 11 | -6.2 | -1.8 | 1:3 vs Lausanne (+2.6) | 1:2 vs Zurich (-1.4) |
13 | Lausanne | 38 | 42 | 53.7 | -11.7Underperforming −− | 9 | -7.6 | -4.0 | 0:1 vs Servette (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Grasshoppers (-2.4) |