Super League 2023-2024 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Lugano	33	59	48.4	+10.7Outperforming ++	6	+3.3	+7.3	1:4 vs St. Gallen (+2.1)	2:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-1.9)
2	Winterthur	33	49	39.3	+9.7Outperforming ++	9	+8.3	+1.4	2:5 vs Lausanne (+2.1)	1:3 vs Basel (-1.5)
3	Yverdon	33	40	30.6	+9.3Outperforming ++	12	+15.7	-6.3	1:2 vs Lausanne (+2.2)	0:3 vs Grasshoppers (-1.4)
4	Young Boys	33	65	57.7	+7.3Outperforming ++	1	+10.0	-2.7	3:0 vs St. Gallen (+1.5)	2:0 vs Lausanne (-1.6)
5	Servette	33	57	55.5	+1.5On expectation	2	+2.5	-1.0	0:1 vs Lugano (+1.7)	1:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-2.4)
6	Basel	33	40	43.5	-3.5Underperforming	8	-1.8	-1.7	0:1 vs Luzern (+2.1)	0:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-1.8)
7	Zurich	33	48	52.2	-4.2Underperforming	4	-0.5	-3.7	0:1 vs Servette (+2.0)	3:2 vs Yverdon (-1.9)
8	St. Gallen	33	50	54.6	-4.7Underperforming	3	+4.6	-9.3	0:1 vs Zurich (+1.8)	1:0 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
9	Lausanne	33	40	44.8	-4.8Underperforming	7	+1.1	-6.0	2:0 vs Young Boys (+1.9)	1:2 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
10	Luzern	33	44	49.5	-5.5Underperforming −−	5	+2.9	-8.3	1:0 vs St. Gallen (+1.6)	2:1 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-2.0)
11	Grasshoppers	33	30	36.5	-6.5Underperforming −−	10	+1.4	-7.9	0:1 vs Basel (+2.0)	0:1 vs Winterthur (-1.4)
12	Lausanne Ouchy	33	23	32.2	-9.2Underperforming −−	11	-7.3	-1.9	1:2 vs Servette (+2.5)	2:1 vs Yverdon (-1.5)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Lugano	33	59	48.4	+10.7Outperforming ++	6	+3.3	+7.3	1:4 vs St. Gallen (+2.1)	2:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-1.9)
2	Winterthur	33	49	39.3	+9.7Outperforming ++	9	+8.3	+1.4	2:5 vs Lausanne (+2.1)	1:3 vs Basel (-1.5)
3	Yverdon	33	40	30.6	+9.3Outperforming ++	12	+15.7	-6.3	1:2 vs Lausanne (+2.2)	0:3 vs Grasshoppers (-1.4)
4	Young Boys	33	65	57.7	+7.3Outperforming ++	1	+10.0	-2.7	3:0 vs St. Gallen (+1.5)	2:0 vs Lausanne (-1.6)
5	Servette	33	57	55.5	+1.5On expectation	2	+2.5	-1.0	0:1 vs Lugano (+1.7)	1:2 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-2.4)
6	Basel	33	40	43.5	-3.5Underperforming	8	-1.8	-1.7	0:1 vs Luzern (+2.1)	0:3 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-1.8)
7	Zurich	33	48	52.2	-4.2Underperforming	4	-0.5	-3.7	0:1 vs Servette (+2.0)	3:2 vs Yverdon (-1.9)
8	St. Gallen	33	50	54.6	-4.7Underperforming	3	+4.6	-9.3	0:1 vs Zurich (+1.8)	1:0 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
9	Lausanne	33	40	44.8	-4.8Underperforming	7	+1.1	-6.0	2:0 vs Young Boys (+1.9)	1:2 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
10	Luzern	33	44	49.5	-5.5Underperforming −−	5	+2.9	-8.3	1:0 vs St. Gallen (+1.6)	2:1 vs Lausanne Ouchy (-2.0)
11	Grasshoppers	33	30	36.5	-6.5Underperforming −−	10	+1.4	-7.9	0:1 vs Basel (+2.0)	0:1 vs Winterthur (-1.4)
12	Lausanne Ouchy	33	23	32.2	-9.2Underperforming −−	11	-7.3	-1.9	1:2 vs Servette (+2.5)	2:1 vs Yverdon (-1.5)