Super League 2024-2025 Performance vs Market

Regular phase only. Super League splits into championship and relegation groups after round 33; those deciding rounds aren't in our dataset yet, so this is the table at the split — not the final standings, and first place here isn't necessarily the season's champion.

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Luzern	33	51	45.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	8	+6.4	-0.4	2:3 vs Lugano (+2.0)	2:3 vs Yverdon (-2.1)
2	Basel	33	61	55.3	+5.8Outperforming ++	1	+4.0	+1.8	0:6 vs Servette (+1.9)	0:1 vs Grasshoppers (-2.0)
3	Yverdon	33	33	28.7	+4.3Outperforming	11	+4.2	+0.1	2:3 vs Servette (+2.4)	1:2 vs Grasshoppers (-1.7)
4	Winterthur	33	30	28.1	+1.9On expectation	12	+4.5	-2.5	1:0 vs Young Boys (+2.3)	1:3 vs Sion (-1.2)
5	Servette	33	55	54.4	+0.6On expectation	3	-0.8	+1.4	0:2 vs Lugano (+1.8)	2:3 vs Yverdon (-2.2)
6	Zurich	33	47	46.5	+0.5On expectation	7	-3.2	+3.7	0:3 vs Lugano (+2.0)	0:2 vs St. Gallen (-1.6)
7	St. Gallen	33	47	47.6	-0.6On expectation	6	+4.2	-4.8	0:2 vs Zurich (+1.8)	4:0 vs Winterthur (-1.9)
8	Young Boys	33	53	55.1	-2.1Underperforming	2	+5.7	-7.8	1:2 vs Basel (+1.8)	1:0 vs Winterthur (-2.1)
9	Lugano	33	49	51.6	-2.6Underperforming	4	+1.5	-4.1	1:2 vs Lausanne (+1.8)	2:0 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
10	Lausanne	33	47	49.7	-2.7Underperforming	5	+2.8	-5.5	1:4 vs Lugano (+1.8)	1:0 vs Winterthur (-2.0)
11	Grasshoppers	33	33	38.6	-5.6Underperforming −−	10	-6.0	+0.3	0:1 vs Basel (+2.2)	0:1 vs Winterthur (-1.8)
12	Sion	33	36	43.3	-7.3Underperforming −−	9	+0.4	-7.7	1:2 vs Young Boys (+2.2)	1:2 vs Winterthur (-2.0)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Luzern	33	51	45.0	+6.0Outperforming ++	8	+6.4	-0.4	2:3 vs Lugano (+2.0)	2:3 vs Yverdon (-2.1)
2	Basel	33	61	55.3	+5.8Outperforming ++	1	+4.0	+1.8	0:6 vs Servette (+1.9)	0:1 vs Grasshoppers (-2.0)
3	Yverdon	33	33	28.7	+4.3Outperforming	11	+4.2	+0.1	2:3 vs Servette (+2.4)	1:2 vs Grasshoppers (-1.7)
4	Winterthur	33	30	28.1	+1.9On expectation	12	+4.5	-2.5	1:0 vs Young Boys (+2.3)	1:3 vs Sion (-1.2)
5	Servette	33	55	54.4	+0.6On expectation	3	-0.8	+1.4	0:2 vs Lugano (+1.8)	2:3 vs Yverdon (-2.2)
6	Zurich	33	47	46.5	+0.5On expectation	7	-3.2	+3.7	0:3 vs Lugano (+2.0)	0:2 vs St. Gallen (-1.6)
7	St. Gallen	33	47	47.6	-0.6On expectation	6	+4.2	-4.8	0:2 vs Zurich (+1.8)	4:0 vs Winterthur (-1.9)
8	Young Boys	33	53	55.1	-2.1Underperforming	2	+5.7	-7.8	1:2 vs Basel (+1.8)	1:0 vs Winterthur (-2.1)
9	Lugano	33	49	51.6	-2.6Underperforming	4	+1.5	-4.1	1:2 vs Lausanne (+1.8)	2:0 vs Yverdon (-2.0)
10	Lausanne	33	47	49.7	-2.7Underperforming	5	+2.8	-5.5	1:4 vs Lugano (+1.8)	1:0 vs Winterthur (-2.0)
11	Grasshoppers	33	33	38.6	-5.6Underperforming −−	10	-6.0	+0.3	0:1 vs Basel (+2.2)	0:1 vs Winterthur (-1.8)
12	Sion	33	36	43.3	-7.3Underperforming −−	9	+0.4	-7.7	1:2 vs Young Boys (+2.2)	1:2 vs Winterthur (-2.0)