Division 1 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Cork City | 30 | 68 | 62.3 | +5.7Outperforming ++ | 1 | +5.4 | +0.3 | 0:2 vs Wexford (+1.3) | 3:4 vs Longford (-2.3) |
2 | Longford | 30 | 41 | 35.4 | +5.6Outperforming ++ | 8 | +5.5 | +0.0 | 3:4 vs Cork City (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Finn Harps (-1.6) |
3 | Kerry | 30 | 42 | 38.4 | +3.6Outperforming | 6 | +6.5 | -2.9 | 0:4 vs Bray (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Athlone (-1.6) |
4 | UC Dublin | 30 | 48 | 45.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 3 | +7.0 | -4.4 | 5:2 vs Cork City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kerry (-2.0) |
5 | Athlone | 30 | 40 | 37.6 | +2.4Outperforming | 7 | +6.2 | -3.7 | 0:1 vs Kerry (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Treaty United (-1.4) |
6 | Cobh Ramblers | 30 | 42 | 40.9 | +1.1On expectation | 5 | +0.3 | +0.7 | 0:1 vs Cork City (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Wexford (-1.9) |
7 | Bray | 30 | 44 | 45.6 | -1.6On expectation | 2 | +6.5 | -8.1 | 3:4 vs UC Dublin (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Kerry (-2.0) |
8 | Treaty United | 30 | 30 | 34.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 9 | +0.1 | -4.4 | 1:2 vs UC Dublin (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Longford (-1.4) |
9 | Wexford | 30 | 37 | 41.7 | -4.7Underperforming | 4 | +2.3 | -7.0 | 0:3 vs Cobh Ramblers (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Longford (-1.8) |
10 | Finn Harps | 30 | 22 | 29.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.1 | -6.3 | 1:0 vs Wexford (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Athlone (-1.5) |
