Division 1hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bray | 24 | 40 | 35.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 2 | +8.2 | -3.3 | 3:4 vs UC Dublin (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Finn Harps (-1.6) |
2 | Cork City | 24 | 54 | 49.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 1 | +3.2 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Wexford (+1.3) | 3:4 vs Longford (-2.3) |
3 | UC Dublin | 24 | 39 | 35.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 3 | +6.9 | -3.0 | 5:2 vs Cork City (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Kerry (-2.0) |
4 | Longford | 24 | 31 | 27.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 9 | +4.2 | -0.3 | 3:4 vs Cork City (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Finn Harps (-1.6) |
5 | Treaty United | 24 | 26 | 27.7 | -1.7On expectation | 8 | +2.6 | -4.3 | 1:0 vs Wexford (+1.9) | 2:0 vs UC Dublin (-1.4) |
6 | Kerry | 24 | 29 | 30.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | +4.2 | -6.1 | 0:1 vs UC Dublin (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Athlone (-1.6) |
7 | Cobh Ramblers | 24 | 31 | 33.0 | -2.0Underperforming | 5 | -2.5 | +0.4 | 0:1 vs Cork City (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Wexford (-1.9) |
8 | Athlone | 24 | 27 | 29.9 | -2.9Underperforming | 7 | +3.0 | -5.9 | 0:1 vs Kerry (+1.9) | 2:1 vs Treaty United (-1.4) |
9 | Wexford | 24 | 31 | 34.4 | -3.4Underperforming | 4 | +2.2 | -5.7 | 0:3 vs Cobh Ramblers (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Finn Harps (-1.8) |
10 | Finn Harps | 24 | 22 | 25.8 | -3.8Underperforming | 10 | +1.1 | -4.9 | 1:0 vs Wexford (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Athlone (-1.6) |
