Division 1 2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Longford | 36 | 52 | 43.2 | +8.8Outperforming ++ | 8 | +7.5 | +1.4 | 3:4 vs Cork City (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Treaty United (-1.8) |
2 | Kerry | 36 | 52 | 47.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 6 | +6.0 | -1.0 | 0:4 vs Bray (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Athlone (-1.6) |
3 | UC Dublin | 36 | 56 | 53.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 3 | +4.3 | -2.2 | 5:2 vs Cork City (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Kerry (-2.0) |
4 | Cork City | 36 | 75 | 73.3 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | +4.8 | -3.0 | 0:3 vs Athlone (+1.3) | 3:4 vs Longford (-2.3) |
5 | Athlone | 36 | 48 | 46.5 | +1.5On expectation | 7 | +7.2 | -5.7 | 0:1 vs Kerry (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Treaty United (-2.2) |
6 | Treaty United | 36 | 42 | 40.6 | +1.4On expectation | 9 | +2.0 | -0.6 | 1:2 vs Athlone (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Longford (-1.4) |
7 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 49 | 48.3 | +0.7On expectation | 5 | -1.4 | +2.1 | 0:1 vs Cork City (+2.4) | 0:3 vs Wexford (-1.9) |
8 | Bray | 36 | 54 | 55.8 | -1.8On expectation | 2 | +4.6 | -6.4 | 3:4 vs UC Dublin (+1.8) | 0:4 vs Kerry (-2.0) |
9 | Finn Harps | 36 | 28 | 34.7 | -6.7Underperforming −− | 10 | -1.6 | -5.1 | 1:3 vs Wexford (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Athlone (-1.5) |
10 | Wexford | 36 | 42 | 50.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 4 | -0.3 | -8.1 | 0:3 vs Cobh Ramblers (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Finn Harps (-2.2) |
