The season in numbers
Home wins paid out more than the market charged: +7.0% at market prices across 180 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
Wexford produced performances worth 8 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30' on average.
Upcoming fixtures — data vs market
all leagues →| # | Time | Market | Implied | Odds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UC Dublin– Longford | 2026-10-27 | 19:45 | Home win | 57.2% | 50.0% | ▲ +7.2% | 2.00 |
Add Division 1 fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 27 OctWe simulate the remaining Division 1 schedule 10,000 times a day. Cork City win the 2026 title in >99% of them, projecting ~75 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Wexford finish in the bottom three in >99% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 75 | 75 | 75–75 | >99% | >99% | — |
| 2 | UC Dublin | 56 | 58 | 56–59 | — | >99% | — |
| 3 |  Bray | 54 | 56 | 54–57 | — | 95% | — |
| 4 | Longford | 52 | 53 | 52–55 | — | 46% | — |
| 5 |  Kerry | 52 | 53 | 52–55 | — | 59% | — |
| · · · | |||||||
| 8 |  Wexford | 42 | 42 | 42–42 | — | — | >99% |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 42 | 42 | 42–42 | — | — | >99% |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 28 | 28 | 28–28 | — | — | >99% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 2 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/ireland/division-1/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Division 1 live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/ireland/division-1">Division 1 stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Division 1 match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cork City | 75 | 73.3 | +1.8 | |
| 2 | UC Dublin | 56 | 53.9 | +2.1 | |
| 3 | Bray | 54 | 55.8 | -1.8 | |
| 4 | Kerry | 52 | 47.0 | +5.0 | |
| 5 | Longford | 52 | 43.2 | +8.8 | outperformed expectations |
| · · · | |||||
| 8 | Wexford | 42 | 50.4 | -8.4 | underperformed expectations |
| 9 | Treaty United | 42 | 40.6 | +1.4 | |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 28 | 34.7 | -6.7 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+