Division 1 2021 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Treaty United | 27 | 42 | 31.7 | +10.3Outperforming ++ | 7 | +5.5 | +4.9 | 2:0 vs Bray (+2.1) | 1:4 vs Cabinteely (-2.1) |
2 | Galway | 27 | 51 | 46.4 | +4.6Outperforming | 3 | +2.9 | +1.7 | 3:1 vs Shelbourne (+1.7) | 1:0 vs Athlone (-1.8) |
3 | Shelbourne | 27 | 57 | 53.2 | +3.8Outperforming | 1 | +0.6 | +3.1 | 1:4 vs Bray (+1.5) | 2:0 vs Cobh Ramblers (-1.9) |
4 | UC Dublin | 27 | 46 | 43.9 | +2.1Outperforming | 4 | +2.8 | -0.8 | 2:3 vs Athlone (+1.7) | 1:2 vs Cobh Ramblers (-2.1) |
5 | Cobh Ramblers | 27 | 28 | 27.8 | +0.2On expectation | 8 | -0.3 | +0.5 | 1:2 vs UC Dublin (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Treaty United (-1.4) |
6 | Wexford | 27 | 21 | 21.8 | -0.8On expectation | 10 | +2.2 | -2.9 | 4:2 vs Bray (+2.2) | 1:0 vs Treaty United (-1.3) |
7 | Cabinteely | 27 | 25 | 26.5 | -1.5On expectation | 9 | -5.0 | +3.5 | 1:2 vs Bray (+2.5) | 0:2 vs Wexford (-1.9) |
8 | Athlone | 27 | 33 | 34.9 | -1.9On expectation | 6 | -3.1 | +1.2 | 0:1 vs Bray (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Cabinteely (-2.0) |
9 | Cork City | 27 | 33 | 39.2 | -6.2Underperforming −− | 5 | -1.3 | -4.9 | 2:3 vs Galway (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Cabinteely (-1.9) |
10 | Bray | 27 | 37 | 46.8 | -9.8Underperforming −− | 2 | -5.1 | -4.7 | 1:2 vs Galway (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Cabinteely (-2.3) |
