Division 1 2025 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bray | 36 | 62 | 49.0 | +13.0Outperforming ++ | 4 | +11.6 | +1.4 | 2:1 vs Cobh Ramblers (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Longford (-2.0) |
2 | Longford | 36 | 45 | 35.4 | +9.6Outperforming ++ | 10 | +9.3 | +0.3 | 3:2 vs Dundalk (+2.4) | 0:2 vs UC Dublin (-1.2) |
3 | Dundalk | 36 | 79 | 73.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 1 | +3.7 | +1.8 | 1:0 vs Cobh Ramblers (+1.5) | 3:2 vs Longford (-2.2) |
4 | Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 69 | 63.5 | +5.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +7.8 | -2.4 | 2:3 vs Treaty United (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Longford (-2.1) |
5 | UC Dublin | 36 | 59 | 53.6 | +5.4Outperforming ++ | 3 | -1.6 | +7.0 | 1:3 vs Bray (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Bray (-1.9) |
6 | Treaty United | 36 | 48 | 48.8 | -0.8On expectation | 5 | +6.6 | -7.4 | 1:0 vs UC Dublin (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Finn Harps (-1.8) |
7 | Wexford | 36 | 44 | 46.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 6 | -4.0 | +1.7 | 1:3 vs Cobh Ramblers (+2.3) | 0:1 vs Longford (-1.9) |
8 | Finn Harps | 35 | 36 | 40.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 8 | -2.3 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Dundalk (+2.2) | 1:3 vs Wexford (-1.5) |
9 | Kerry | 35 | 33 | 40.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 7 | -0.3 | -7.3 | 1:2 vs Wexford (+2.0) | 3:2 vs Longford (-1.5) |
10 | Athlone | 36 | 20 | 40.1 | -20.1Underperforming −− | 9 | -10.8 | -9.2 | 0:1 vs Wexford (+2.0) | 0:5 vs Treaty United (-1.7) |
