Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ajka | 1 | 3 | 1.1 | +1.9On expectation | 13 | +1.9 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Kecskemeti TE (+1.9) | 3:1 vs Kecskemeti TE (1.9) |
2 | Soroksar | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | +1.8On expectation | 11 | +1.8 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (+1.8) | 1:0 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (1.8) |
3 | Gyirmot | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 7 | +1.5 | 0.0 | 3:1 vs Csakvari (+1.5) | 3:1 vs Csakvari (1.5) |
4 | Videoton | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | +1.2On expectation | 2 | +1.2 | 0.0 | 4:0 vs Kozarmisleny SE (+1.2) | 4:0 vs Kozarmisleny SE (1.2) |
5 | DVTK | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 1 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 2:3 vs Nagykanizsa (+1.0) | 2:3 vs Nagykanizsa (1.0) |
6 | Karcagi | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs Szentlorinc (+-0.1) | 0:0 vs Szentlorinc (-0.1) |
7 | BVSC-Zuglo | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 12 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Kazincbarcika (+-0.2) | 0:0 vs Kazincbarcika (-0.2) |
8 | Szeged | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 9 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 1:1 vs Tiszakecske (+-0.3) | 1:1 vs Tiszakecske (-0.3) |
9 | Tiszakecske | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 1:1 vs Szeged (+-0.4) | 1:1 vs Szeged (-0.4) |
10 | Kazincbarcika | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5On expectation | 5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 0:0 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+-0.5) | 0:0 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-0.5) |
11 | Szentlorinc | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | -0.6On expectation | 3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0:0 vs Karcagi (+-0.6) | 0:0 vs Karcagi (-0.6) |
12 | Nagykanizsa | 1 | 0 | 0.7 | -0.7On expectation | 16 | -0.7 | 0.0 | 2:3 vs DVTK (+-0.7) | 2:3 vs DVTK (-0.7) |
13 | Kozarmisleny SE | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 4:0 vs Videoton (+-1.0) | 4:0 vs Videoton (-1.0) |
14 | Csakvari | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 10 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:1 vs Gyirmot (+-1.2) | 3:1 vs Gyirmot (-1.2) |
15 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 6 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs Soroksar (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs Soroksar (-1.5) |
16 | Kecskemeti TE | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | -1.6On expectation | 4 | 0.0 | -1.6 | 3:1 vs Ajka (+-1.6) | 3:1 vs Ajka (-1.6) |