NB II. 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Soroksar | 8 | 20 | 11.4 | +8.6Outperforming ++ | 5 | +5.6 | +3.0 | 4:0 vs DVTK (+2.0) | 3:3 vs Tiszakecske (-0.6) |
2 | Tiszakecske | 8 | 16 | 11.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 6 | +4.0 | +0.8 | 4:1 vs DVTK (+1.8) | 3:3 vs Karcagi (-0.5) |
3 | Ajka | 7 | 14 | 9.7 | +4.3Outperforming | 9 | +2.3 | +2.0 | 3:1 vs Kecskemeti TE (+1.9) | 0:3 vs Soroksar (-1.3) |
4 | Kecskemeti TE | 8 | 17 | 13.6 | +3.4Outperforming | 1 | +2.3 | +1.1 | 0:1 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+1.6) | 3:1 vs Ajka (-1.6) |
5 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 7 | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3Outperforming | 8 | +4.6 | -2.4 | 1:2 vs Videoton (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.7) |
6 | Kazincbarcika | 8 | 13 | 11.0 | +2.0Outperforming | 7 | +2.8 | -0.8 | 3:1 vs Videoton (+1.8) | 4:1 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (-1.3) |
7 | Karcagi | 8 | 11 | 9.7 | +1.4On expectation | 10 | +0.6 | +0.8 | 1:4 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Gyirmot (-0.9) |
8 | Gyirmot | 8 | 13 | 11.7 | +1.3On expectation | 4 | +2.2 | -0.8 | 0:1 vs Szeged (+1.6) | 1:4 vs Kecskemeti TE (-1.3) |
9 | Nagykanizsa | 8 | 9 | 8.4 | +0.6On expectation | 15 | -1.2 | +1.8 | 0:1 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Soroksar (-1.4) |
10 | Szentlorinc | 7 | 10 | 9.6 | +0.4On expectation | 11 | +2.4 | -1.9 | 2:1 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Ajka (-1.5) |
11 | Szeged | 7 | 6 | 9.2 | -3.2Underperforming | 13 | -1.7 | -1.5 | 1:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (+1.4) | 0:1 vs Gyirmot (-1.3) |
12 | Videoton | 8 | 9 | 12.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 2 | +2.3 | -5.6 | 2:1 vs DVTK (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (-1.7) |
13 | Kozarmisleny SE | 8 | 4 | 8.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 16 | +0.8 | -5.0 | 2:0 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (+1.9) | 2:0 vs Csakvari (-1.3) |
14 | DVTK | 7 | 7 | 11.8 | -4.8Underperforming | 3 | -1.3 | -3.5 | 2:0 vs Gyirmot (+1.4) | 0:2 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-1.8) |
15 | Csakvari | 8 | 4 | 9.2 | -5.2Underperforming −− | 14 | -1.1 | -4.1 | 2:0 vs Kozarmisleny SE (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Nagykanizsa (-1.5) |
16 | BVSC-Zuglo | 7 | 4 | 9.4 | -5.4Underperforming −− | 12 | -5.0 | -0.4 | 0:2 vs DVTK (+2.1) | 0:1 vs Nagykanizsa (-1.9) |
