NB II. 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kozarmisleny SE | 30 | 48 | 33.5 | +14.5Outperforming ++ | 16 | +6.1 | +8.4 | 1:2 vs Honved (+2.5) | 0:3 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-1.5) |
2 | Csakvari | 30 | 46 | 36.5 | +9.5Outperforming ++ | 10 | +4.5 | +5.0 | 1:4 vs Vasas (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Karcagi (-1.7) |
3 | Vasas | 30 | 64 | 59.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 1 | +2.4 | +1.8 | 1:2 vs Kecskemeti TE (+1.6) | 0:2 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-2.4) |
4 | BVSC-Zuglo | 30 | 41 | 37.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 8 | +0.8 | +2.3 | 0:2 vs Vasas (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.8) |
5 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 30 | 46 | 43.2 | +2.8Outperforming | 6 | +0.5 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Szentlorinc (-1.8) |
6 | Honved | 30 | 59 | 56.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 2 | +2.7 | -0.3 | 1:2 vs Vasas (+1.9) | 1:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-2.3) |
7 | Tiszakecske | 30 | 39 | 37.7 | +1.3On expectation | 9 | +1.6 | -0.3 | 1:0 vs Honved (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.8) |
8 | Karcagi | 30 | 35 | 34.4 | +0.6On expectation | 13 | +2.3 | -1.8 | 1:0 vs Vasas (+2.1) | 1:3 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-1.4) |
9 | Kecskemeti TE | 30 | 51 | 51.5 | -0.5On expectation | 3 | +5.9 | -6.4 | 0:1 vs Honved (+2.1) | 0:2 vs BVSC-Zuglo (-2.1) |
10 | Soroksar | 30 | 33 | 34.0 | -1.0On expectation | 14 | +5.0 | -6.0 | 0:3 vs Szeged (+2.3) | 3:2 vs Karcagi (-1.4) |
11 | Ajka | 30 | 33 | 34.9 | -1.9On expectation | 12 | -4.2 | +2.3 | 0:1 vs Kecskemeti TE (+2.3) | 0:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.7) |
12 | Budafoki | 30 | 29 | 33.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 15 | -2.2 | -2.6 | 0:2 vs BVSC-Zuglo (+2.0) | 0:3 vs Bekescsaba 1912 (-1.5) |
13 | Szentlorinc | 30 | 33 | 37.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 7 | -2.2 | -2.7 | 0:3 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (+2.1) | 2:1 vs Soroksar (-1.6) |
14 | Videoton | 30 | 39 | 44.6 | -5.6Underperforming −− | 4 | -1.7 | -3.9 | 1:0 vs Szeged (+1.7) | 1:3 vs Budafoki (-1.7) |
15 | Szeged | 30 | 36 | 43.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 5 | -5.4 | -2.2 | 1:4 vs Tiszakecske (+1.7) | 0:3 vs Soroksar (-2.0) |
16 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 30 | 28 | 36.4 | -8.4Underperforming −− | 11 | -5.8 | -2.6 | 0:1 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Ajka (-1.8) |
