The season in numbers
Even the best blind strategy (under 2.5 goals) lost this season. The bookmaker margin is undefeated.
Bekescsaba 1912 produced performances worth 8 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 32.2' on average.
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every Merkantil Bank Liga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Final table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasas | 64 | 59.8 | +4.2 | champions — earned it |
| 2 | Honved | 59 | 56.5 | +2.5 | |
| 3 | Kecskemeti TE | 51 | 51.5 |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
One email per matchweek: fixtures with data leans, who's outperforming the market, and anything it's mispricing. Starts with the 2026-27 season. No tips, no spam.
Statistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+
