Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 4 OctThe season in numbers
Home wins paid out more than the market charged: +19.1% at market prices across 61 matches. The other 6 markets returned less than they cost — the bookmaker margin at work.
BVSC-Zuglo produced performances worth 5 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 30.7' on average.
Add Merkantil Bank Liga fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 4 OctWe simulate the remaining Merkantil Bank Liga schedule 10,000 times a day. Kecskemeti TE win the 2026-2027 title in 41% of them, projecting ~55 points; Soroksar are next at 32%. At the other end, Csakvari finish in the bottom three in 66% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kecskemeti TE | 17 | 55 | 47–63 | 41% | 88% | <1% |
| 2 | Soroksar | 20 | 54 | 45–61 | 32% | 83% | <1% |
| 3 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 12 | 49 | 41–57 | 10% | 57% | <1% |
| 4 | Kazincbarcika | 13 | 48 | 40–56 | 7% | 49% | <1% |
| 5 | Tiszakecske | 16 | 47 | 40–55 | 6% | 48% | <1% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 14 | Nagykanizsa | 9 | 34 | 27–42 | <1% | 1% | 42% |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny SE | 4 | 34 | 26–41 | <1% | 1% | 45% |
| 16 | Csakvari | 4 | 31 | 23–38 | <1% | <1% | 66% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 179 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
</> Embed this table on your site</> Embed this table — free, updates hourly, keep the credit link
<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/hungary/nb-ii/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Merkantil Bank Liga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/hungary/nb-ii">Merkantil Bank Liga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Merkantil Bank Liga match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 20 | 11.4 | +8.6 | outperformed expectations |
| 2 | Kecskemeti TE | 17 | 13.6 | +3.4 | |
| 3 | Tiszakecske | 16 | 11.2 | +4.8 | |
| 4 | Ajka | 14 | 9.7 | +4.3 | |
| 5 | Kazincbarcika | 13 | 11.0 | +2.0 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 14 | BVSC-Zuglo | 4 | 9.4 | -5.4 | |
| 15 | Kozarmisleny SE | 4 | 8.2 | -4.2 | |
| 16 | Csakvari | 4 | 9.2 | -5.2 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysisGo deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+

Kecskemeti TE
Soroksar
Kozarmisleny SE
Csakvari
Ajka

