NB II. 2023-2024 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nyiregyhaza | 33 | 76 | 57.0 | +19.0Outperforming ++ | 3 | +13.3 | +5.7 | 3:2 vs Gyor (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Budafoki (-1.7) |
2 | Gyor | 33 | 69 | 59.6 | +9.4Outperforming ++ | 2 | +4.9 | +4.5 | 2:3 vs Gyirmot (+1.8) | 0:1 vs Honved (-1.8) |
3 | Szeged | 33 | 57 | 50.8 | +6.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +2.5 | +3.7 | 0:1 vs Gyor (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Tiszakecske (-2.0) |
4 | Kazincbarcika | 33 | 44 | 39.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 14 | +2.8 | +1.3 | 0:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (+2.1) | 3:0 vs Siofok (-1.4) |
5 | Kozarmisleny SE | 33 | 49 | 45.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 8 | +3.9 | -0.4 | 1:2 vs Honved (+2.2) | 0:2 vs Kazincbarcika (-1.9) |
6 | Vasas | 33 | 64 | 60.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 1 | +4.0 | -0.8 | 6:0 vs Gyor (+1.5) | 0:1 vs Budafoki (-2.1) |
7 | Csakvari | 33 | 43 | 39.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 15 | -4.5 | +7.6 | 0:1 vs Ajka (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Soroksar (-1.7) |
8 | Zuglo-Soroksar | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | +1.7On expectation | 29 | 0.0 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs BVSC (+1.7) | 1:2 vs BVSC (1.7) |
9 | Zuglo-Kozarmisleny SE | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 27 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:1 vs BVSC (+1.6) | 0:1 vs BVSC (1.6) |
10 | Zuglo-Ajka | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 26 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs BVSC (+1.6) | 0:2 vs BVSC (1.6) |
11 | BVSC | 17 | 24 | 22.5 | +1.5On expectation | 18 | +1.5 | 0.0 | 1:0 vs Zuglo-Gyor (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Zuglo-Soroksar (-1.4) |
12 | Zuglo-Gyirmot | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:3 vs BVSC (+1.5) | 0:3 vs BVSC (1.5) |
13 | Zuglo-Szeged | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 0:1 vs BVSC (+1.5) | 0:1 vs BVSC (1.5) |
14 | Zuglo-Nyiregyhaza | 1 | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | +1.3 | 1:2 vs BVSC (+1.3) | 1:2 vs BVSC (1.3) |
15 | Budafoki | 33 | 44 | 42.7 | +1.3On expectation | 10 | +8.3 | -7.0 | 0:1 vs Vasas (+2.3) | 1:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.6) |
16 | Zuglo-Vasas | 1 | 3 | 1.9 | +1.1On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.1 | 0:2 vs BVSC (+1.1) | 0:2 vs BVSC (1.1) |
17 | Soroksar | 33 | 42 | 41.1 | +0.9On expectation | 12 | +4.5 | -3.6 | 1:2 vs Csakvari (+2.0) | 3:4 vs Mosonmagyarovari TE (-2.1) |
18 | Zuglo-Honved | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | -0.1On expectation | 35 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0:0 vs BVSC (+-0.0) | 0:0 vs BVSC (-0.0) |
19 | Zuglo-Tiszakecske | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | -0.3On expectation | 30 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 0:0 vs BVSC (+-0.3) | 0:0 vs BVSC (-0.3) |
20 | Zuglo-Pecsi MFC | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 28 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 0:0 vs BVSC (+-0.4) | 0:0 vs BVSC (-0.4) |
21 | Zuglo-Mosonmagyarovari TE | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | -1.0On expectation | 36 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 1:0 vs BVSC (+-1.0) | 1:0 vs BVSC (-1.0) |
22 | Zuglo-Csakvari | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | -1.1On expectation | 34 | 0.0 | -1.1 | 1:0 vs BVSC (+-1.1) | 1:0 vs BVSC (-1.1) |
23 | Zuglo-Siofok | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 33 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:0 vs BVSC (+-1.2) | 2:0 vs BVSC (-1.2) |
24 | Zuglo-Budafoki | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 31 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 2:1 vs BVSC (+-1.2) | 2:1 vs BVSC (-1.2) |
25 | Zuglo-Kazincbarcika | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | -1.2On expectation | 32 | 0.0 | -1.2 | 3:0 vs BVSC (+-1.2) | 3:0 vs BVSC (-1.2) |
26 | Zuglo-Haladas | 1 | 0 | 1.5 | -1.5On expectation | 25 | 0.0 | -1.5 | 1:0 vs BVSC (+-1.5) | 1:0 vs BVSC (-1.5) |
27 | Gyirmot | 33 | 46 | 47.5 | -1.5On expectation | 6 | -0.5 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Tiszakecske (+1.7) | 3:5 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-1.7) |
28 | Zuglo-Gyor | 1 | 0 | 1.9 | -1.9On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | -1.9 | 1:0 vs BVSC (+-1.9) | 1:0 vs BVSC (-1.9) |
29 | BVSC-Zuglo | 17 | 14 | 17.3 | -3.3Underperforming | 19 | 0.0 | -3.3 | 0:1 vs Ajka (+2.1) | 1:0 vs Siofok (-1.3) |
30 | Haladas | 33 | 38 | 42.9 | -4.9Underperforming | 9 | -1.4 | -3.4 | 1:2 vs Honved (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Mosonmagyarovari TE (-2.0) |
31 | Siofok | 33 | 31 | 36.0 | -5.0Underperforming −− | 16 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0:1 vs Honved (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Mosonmagyarovari TE (-1.6) |
32 | Honved | 33 | 43 | 48.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 5 | -4.7 | -1.1 | 0:1 vs Gyor (+2.1) | 1:2 vs Kozarmisleny SE (-2.0) |
33 | Ajka | 33 | 40 | 46.1 | -6.1Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.7 | -2.4 | 0:2 vs Szeged (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Csakvari (-1.9) |
34 | Pecsi MFC | 33 | 35 | 42.0 | -7.0Underperforming −− | 11 | -4.9 | -2.0 | 0:1 vs Haladas (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Csakvari (-1.7) |
35 | Tiszakecske | 33 | 33 | 40.7 | -7.7Underperforming −− | 13 | -6.9 | -0.8 | 0:2 vs Szeged (+2.3) | 1:3 vs Siofok (-1.8) |
36 | Mosonmagyarovari TE | 33 | 21 | 29.9 | -8.9Underperforming −− | 17 | -10.4 | +1.6 | 3:4 vs Soroksar (+2.3) | 0:3 vs Kazincbarcika (-1.5) |
