NB I. 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 15 | 11.1 | +3.9Outperforming | 6 | +0.1 | +3.8 | 0:1 vs Vasas (+1.8) | 0:2 vs Kisvarda (-1.8) |
2 | Vasas | 8 | 14 | 10.5 | +3.5Outperforming | 8 | +1.2 | +2.4 | 2:4 vs Debrecen (+1.7) | 0:1 vs Puskas Academy (-1.5) |
3 | Gyor | 8 | 15 | 11.7 | +3.3Outperforming | 3 | +3.0 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs MTK Budapest (+1.8) | 0:3 vs Ferencvaros (-0.9) |
4 | Ujpest | 8 | 14 | 11.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 5 | +3.3 | -0.5 | 2:4 vs Kisvarda (+1.6) | 2:1 vs Nyiregyhaza (-1.3) |
5 | Kisvarda | 8 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.0On expectation | 11 | -3.2 | +3.1 | 0:2 vs Puskas Academy (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Ujpest (-1.3) |
6 | Paks | 8 | 11 | 11.7 | -0.7On expectation | 2 | +0.9 | -1.6 | 4:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Debrecen (-1.8) |
7 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 12 | 13.5 | -1.5On expectation | 1 | -2.3 | +0.7 | 1:2 vs Puskas Academy (+1.2) | 4:2 vs Paks (-1.8) |
8 | Debrecen | 8 | 9 | 10.7 | -1.7On expectation | 7 | -2.2 | +0.5 | 2:4 vs Paks (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Vasas (-1.5) |
9 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 8 | 10.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 9 | +2.5 | -4.7 | 2:1 vs Ujpest (+1.6) | 1:0 vs Debrecen (-1.3) |
10 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 9 | 11.5 | -2.5Underperforming | 4 | -1.7 | -0.8 | 2:1 vs Nyiregyhaza (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Kisvarda (-1.8) |
11 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 6 | 8.7 | -2.7Underperforming | 12 | +2.6 | -5.3 | 5:2 vs Paks (+1.7) | 5:0 vs Vasas (-1.2) |
12 | Honved | 7 | 6 | 9.1 | -3.1Underperforming | 10 | -0.3 | -2.8 | 1:0 vs Zalaegerszegi (+1.4) | 1:2 vs Vasas (-1.3) |
