NB I. 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
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Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Puskas Academy | 13 | 24 | 18.2 | +5.8Outperforming ++ | 5 | -3.0 | +8.8 | 0:1 vs Ujpest (+1.9) | 0:2 vs Kisvarda (-1.8) |
2 | Debrecen | 13 | 22 | 17.0 | +5.0Outperforming ++ | 9 | +0.7 | +4.3 | 2:4 vs Paks (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Puskas Academy (-1.4) |
3 | Gyor | 13 | 23 | 18.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 4 | +2.8 | +2.0 | 1:2 vs Paks (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Puskas Academy (-1.4) |
4 | Paks | 13 | 20 | 18.9 | +1.1On expectation | 2 | +1.7 | -0.6 | 4:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Debrecen (-1.8) |
5 | Ujpest | 13 | 18 | 18.6 | -0.6On expectation | 3 | +3.0 | -3.6 | 2:4 vs Kisvarda (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Puskas Academy (-1.6) |
6 | Vasas | 13 | 16 | 17.1 | -1.1On expectation | 8 | -1.8 | +0.7 | 2:4 vs Debrecen (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Puskas Academy (-1.5) |
7 | Ferencvaros | 12 | 23 | 24.3 | -1.3On expectation | 1 | -1.8 | +0.6 | 1:2 vs Puskas Academy (+1.2) | 4:2 vs Paks (-1.8) |
8 | Honved | 12 | 14 | 15.6 | -1.6On expectation | 10 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 0:1 vs Nyiregyhaza (+2.0) | 1:2 vs Vasas (-1.4) |
9 | Kisvarda | 13 | 12 | 13.9 | -1.9On expectation | 12 | -4.1 | +2.2 | 0:2 vs Puskas Academy (+2.1) | 2:4 vs Ujpest (-1.3) |
10 | Zalaegerszegi | 13 | 13 | 15.6 | -2.6Underperforming | 11 | +4.8 | -7.4 | 5:2 vs Paks (+1.7) | 5:0 vs Vasas (-1.2) |
11 | MTK Budapest | 13 | 13 | 17.3 | -4.3Underperforming | 6 | -0.7 | -3.6 | 1:0 vs Vasas (+1.6) | 1:2 vs Kisvarda (-1.8) |
12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 12 | 17.1 | -5.1Underperforming −− | 7 | +0.2 | -5.3 | 1:2 vs Puskas Academy (+1.9) | 0:1 vs Honved (-1.7) |
