NB I.hub →Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kisvarda | 32 | 56 | 46.8 | +9.2Outperforming ++ | 4 | +8.9 | +0.3 | 1:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Mezokovesd-Zsory (-1.9) |
2 | Mezokovesd-Zsory | 17 | 20 | 17.1 | +2.9Outperforming | 13 | 0.0 | +2.9 | 1:2 vs Kisvarda (+2.1) | 1:0 vs MTK Budapest (-1.3) |
3 | Puskas Academy | 32 | 51 | 49.1 | +1.9On expectation | 3 | +0.2 | +1.7 | 1:0 vs Ferencvaros (+2.0) | 1:2 vs MTK Budapest (-2.1) |
4 | Debrecen | 31 | 36 | 34.1 | +1.9On expectation | 10 | +0.2 | +1.7 | 1:2 vs Videoton (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Zalaegerszegi (-1.8) |
5 | Zsory-Kisvarda | 1 | 3 | 1.4 | +1.6On expectation | 21 | 0.0 | +1.6 | 0:2 vs Mezokovesd (+1.6) | 0:2 vs Mezokovesd (1.6) |
6 | Zsory-Puskas Academy | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | +1.5On expectation | 20 | 0.0 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Mezokovesd (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Mezokovesd (1.5) |
7 | Gyirmot | 31 | 31 | 29.6 | +1.4On expectation | 11 | -4.2 | +5.6 | 1:3 vs Ujpest (+2.2) | 0:1 vs Zalaegerszegi (-1.4) |
8 | Ferencvaros | 32 | 68 | 66.7 | +1.4On expectation | 1 | -5.4 | +6.8 | 0:4 vs Kisvarda (+1.4) | 0:3 vs MTK Budapest (-2.4) |
9 | Zsory-Ujpest | 2 | 4 | 2.7 | +1.3On expectation | 15 | 0.0 | +1.3 | 2:3 vs Mezokovesd (+1.5) | 2:2 vs Mezokovesd (-0.2) |
10 | Zalaegerszegi | 31 | 38 | 36.8 | +1.2On expectation | 9 | -1.4 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 2:3 vs MTK Budapest (-1.8) |
11 | Zsory-Ferencvaros | 1 | 3 | 2.0 | +1.0On expectation | 18 | 0.0 | +1.0 | 0:3 vs Mezokovesd (+1.0) | 0:3 vs Mezokovesd (1.0) |
12 | Zsory-Debrecen | 2 | 3 | 2.1 | +0.9On expectation | 17 | 0.0 | +0.9 | 0:1 vs Mezokovesd (+2.0) | 1:0 vs Mezokovesd (-1.1) |
13 | Zsory-Videoton | 2 | 4 | 3.2 | +0.8On expectation | 14 | 0.0 | +0.8 | 1:2 vs Mezokovesd (+1.5) | 2:2 vs Mezokovesd (-0.7) |
14 | Zsory-MTK Budapest | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | -0.2On expectation | 24 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 1:1 vs Mezokovesd (+-0.2) | 1:1 vs Mezokovesd (-0.2) |
15 | Zsory-Honved | 1 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 22 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 0:0 vs Mezokovesd (+-0.4) | 0:0 vs Mezokovesd (-0.4) |
16 | Zsory-Gyirmot | 2 | 1 | 1.9 | -0.8On expectation | 19 | 0.0 | -0.8 | 0:0 vs Mezokovesd (+0.1) | 1:0 vs Mezokovesd (-1.0) |
17 | Zsory-Paks | 1 | 0 | 1.4 | -1.4On expectation | 23 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 2:1 vs Mezokovesd (+-1.4) | 2:1 vs Mezokovesd (-1.4) |
18 | Zsory-Zalaegerszegi | 2 | 1 | 2.4 | -1.4On expectation | 16 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 0:0 vs Mezokovesd (+-0.3) | 3:2 vs Mezokovesd (-1.1) |
19 | Ujpest | 31 | 40 | 41.5 | -1.5On expectation | 7 | +0.3 | -1.8 | 1:2 vs Videoton (+2.0) | 1:3 vs Gyirmot (-2.0) |
20 | MTK Budapest | 32 | 35 | 36.9 | -1.9On expectation | 8 | -2.2 | +0.3 | 0:3 vs Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 0:3 vs Gyirmot (-1.7) |
21 | Paks | 32 | 43 | 45.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 5 | -3.9 | +1.6 | 0:3 vs Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Debrecen (-2.0) |
22 | Mezokovesd | 16 | 18 | 22.6 | -4.6Underperforming | 12 | -4.6 | 0.0 | 2:1 vs Zsory-Paks (+1.6) | 0:1 vs Zsory-Debrecen (-1.7) |
23 | Honved | 32 | 37 | 44.6 | -7.6Underperforming −− | 6 | -4.8 | -2.8 | 2:3 vs Paks (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Gyirmot (-2.0) |
24 | Videoton | 31 | 44 | 51.9 | -7.9Underperforming −− | 2 | +1.5 | -9.4 | 5:3 vs Kisvarda (+1.5) | 1:2 vs Debrecen (-2.2) |
