NB I. 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Gyor | 33 | 69 | 58.5 | +10.5Outperforming ++ | 2 | +2.8 | +7.7 | 1:3 vs Ferencvaros (+2.0) | 0:1 vs Zalaegerszegi (-2.1) |
2 | Debrecen | 33 | 53 | 43.7 | +9.3Outperforming ++ | 6 | +1.6 | +7.7 | 0:1 vs Ferencvaros (+2.4) | 1:2 vs Nyiregyhaza (-1.8) |
3 | Zalaegerszegi | 33 | 48 | 43.2 | +4.8Outperforming | 7 | +2.2 | +2.6 | 1:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.5) | 0:1 vs Nyiregyhaza (-1.7) |
4 | Paks | 33 | 53 | 51.5 | +1.5On expectation | 3 | -0.0 | +1.5 | 1:2 vs Ujpest (+2.0) | 1:2 vs DVTK (-2.0) |
5 | Kisvarda | 33 | 40 | 39.8 | +0.3On expectation | 10 | +2.6 | -2.4 | 0:1 vs Ujpest (+2.1) | 1:2 vs DVTK (-2.0) |
6 | Ferencvaros | 33 | 68 | 68.1 | -0.1On expectation | 1 | -6.9 | +6.8 | 0:1 vs Paks (+1.6) | 1:3 vs Nyiregyhaza (-2.4) |
7 | Nyiregyhaza | 33 | 40 | 40.8 | -0.8On expectation | 9 | -3.5 | +2.7 | 1:3 vs Ferencvaros (+2.6) | 0:1 vs Kazincbarcika (-1.9) |
8 | Puskas Academy | 33 | 46 | 49.6 | -3.6Underperforming | 4 | -7.3 | +3.7 | 1:2 vs Ferencvaros (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Debrecen (-1.9) |
9 | Kazincbarcika | 33 | 22 | 26.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 12 | -4.3 | +0.1 | 0:4 vs DVTK (+2.2) | 1:2 vs Debrecen (-1.2) |
10 | MTK Budapest | 33 | 38 | 42.4 | -4.3Underperforming | 8 | +0.1 | -4.5 | 1:2 vs Ujpest (+2.1) | 1:3 vs Kazincbarcika (-2.0) |
11 | DVTK | 33 | 28 | 34.5 | -6.5Underperforming −− | 11 | -3.7 | -2.8 | 1:2 vs Paks (+2.2) | 0:4 vs Kazincbarcika (-2.0) |
12 | Ujpest | 33 | 40 | 47.4 | -7.4Underperforming −− | 5 | -5.3 | -2.2 | 1:3 vs Paks (+2.0) | 1:2 vs MTK Budapest (-1.8) |
