The season in numbers
Blindly backing draws in every match beat the market this season. The other 6 strategies lost — as they usually do.
Nyiregyhaza produced performances worth 2 more points than they collected, by market expectations — full performance table →
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 27.7' on average.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 11 SeptWe simulate the remaining OTP Bank Liga schedule 10,000 times a day. Ferencvaros win the 2026-2027 title in 67% of them, projecting ~65 points; Gyor are next at 26%. At the other end, Nyiregyhaza finish in the bottom three in 73% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferencvaros | 11 | 65 | 56–73 | 67% | 99% | — |
| 2 |  Gyor | 12 | 59 | 51–67 | 26% | 94% | <1% |
| 3 |  Puskas Academy | 12 | 50 | 42–59 | 3% | 60% | 2% |
| 4 | Vasas | 11 | 50 | 42–58 | 3% | 57% | 3% |
| 5 |  Paks | 8 | 47 | 38–55 | <1% | 35% | 8% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 10 |  Zalaegerszegi | 6 | 38 | 30–46 | <1% | 4% | 47% |
| 11 |  Kisvarda | 9 | 36 | 29–44 | <1% | 3% | 54% |
| 12 |  Nyiregyhaza | 7 | 34 | 26–42 | <1% | 1% | 73% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 157 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/hungary/nb-i/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="OTP Bank Liga live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/hungary/nb-i">OTP Bank Liga stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market strategies
flat stake · vs break-even — not betting adviceWhat blindly backing each market in every OTP Bank Liga match would have returned. Losing lines are the norm — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyor | 12 | 10.5 | +1.5 | |
| 2 | Puskas Academy | 12 | 9.5 | +2.5 | |
| 3 | Vasas | 11 | 9.1 | +1.9 | |
| 4 |  Ujpest | 11 | 9.4 | +1.6 | |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 11 | 11.7 | -0.7 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 7 | 9.4 | -2.4 | |
| 11 | Honved | 6 | 8.0 | -2.0 | |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 6 | 7.8 | -1.8 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+