Premiere Ligue Women 2024-2025 Performance vs Market

Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Dijon W	22	43	32.5	+10.5Outperforming ++	4	+6.0	+4.5	0:2 vs Nantes W (+1.6)	0:1 vs PSG W (-0.6)
2	Lyon W	22	62	55.0	+7.0Outperforming ++	1	+2.8	+4.2	7:0 vs Guingamp W (+1.7)	2:2 vs Paris FC W (-1.4)
3	Montpellier W	22	33	30.1	+3.0Outperforming	6	+1.0	+1.9	2:0 vs Paris FC W (+2.5)	3:1 vs Guingamp W (-2.2)
4	PSG W	22	52	49.6	+2.4Outperforming	2	+2.7	-0.2	0:1 vs Dijon W (+0.8)	2:2 vs Le Havre W (-1.6)
5	Fleury 91 W	22	33	32.3	+0.7On expectation	5	+0.1	+0.5	0:1 vs Montpellier W (+1.8)	3:2 vs St Etienne W (-1.9)
6	Paris FC W	22	45	45.2	-0.2On expectation	3	+2.6	-2.8	1:4 vs Fleury 91 W (+0.9)	1:0 vs St Etienne W (-2.4)
7	Le Havre W	22	21	22.1	-1.1On expectation	9	-2.7	+1.5	1:3 vs Montpellier W (+2.2)	0:3 vs Reims W (-1.8)
8	Nantes W	22	23	25.2	-2.2Underperforming	7	-5.0	+2.9	0:1 vs Le Havre W (+1.7)	0:1 vs St Etienne W (-1.6)
9	Strasbourg W	22	17	20.2	-3.2Underperforming	11	-0.3	-2.9	2:0 vs St Etienne W (+1.7)	3:2 vs Guingamp W (-1.7)
10	St Etienne W	22	17	21.1	-4.1Underperforming	10	-0.8	-3.2	1:0 vs Paris FC W (+2.5)	3:2 vs Guingamp W (-1.8)
11	Guingamp W	22	9	13.5	-4.5Underperforming	12	+2.1	-6.7	3:1 vs Montpellier W (+2.4)	7:0 vs Lyon W (-1.3)
12	Reims W	22	15	23.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	8	-7.9	-0.3	0:3 vs Le Havre W (+2.1)	1:2 vs St Etienne W (-1.6)

#	Team	P	Pts	xPts	vs xPTS	xPos	Home Δ	Away Δ	Biggest overshoot	Harshest result
1	Dijon W	22	43	32.5	+10.5Outperforming ++	4	+6.0	+4.5	0:2 vs Nantes W (+1.6)	0:1 vs PSG W (-0.6)
2	Lyon W	22	62	55.0	+7.0Outperforming ++	1	+2.8	+4.2	7:0 vs Guingamp W (+1.7)	2:2 vs Paris FC W (-1.4)
3	Montpellier W	22	33	30.1	+3.0Outperforming	6	+1.0	+1.9	2:0 vs Paris FC W (+2.5)	3:1 vs Guingamp W (-2.2)
4	PSG W	22	52	49.6	+2.4Outperforming	2	+2.7	-0.2	0:1 vs Dijon W (+0.8)	2:2 vs Le Havre W (-1.6)
5	Fleury 91 W	22	33	32.3	+0.7On expectation	5	+0.1	+0.5	0:1 vs Montpellier W (+1.8)	3:2 vs St Etienne W (-1.9)
6	Paris FC W	22	45	45.2	-0.2On expectation	3	+2.6	-2.8	1:4 vs Fleury 91 W (+0.9)	1:0 vs St Etienne W (-2.4)
7	Le Havre W	22	21	22.1	-1.1On expectation	9	-2.7	+1.5	1:3 vs Montpellier W (+2.2)	0:3 vs Reims W (-1.8)
8	Nantes W	22	23	25.2	-2.2Underperforming	7	-5.0	+2.9	0:1 vs Le Havre W (+1.7)	0:1 vs St Etienne W (-1.6)
9	Strasbourg W	22	17	20.2	-3.2Underperforming	11	-0.3	-2.9	2:0 vs St Etienne W (+1.7)	3:2 vs Guingamp W (-1.7)
10	St Etienne W	22	17	21.1	-4.1Underperforming	10	-0.8	-3.2	1:0 vs Paris FC W (+2.5)	3:2 vs Guingamp W (-1.8)
11	Guingamp W	22	9	13.5	-4.5Underperforming	12	+2.1	-6.7	3:1 vs Montpellier W (+2.4)	7:0 vs Lyon W (-1.3)
12	Reims W	22	15	23.2	-8.2Underperforming −−	8	-7.9	-0.3	0:3 vs Le Havre W (+2.1)	1:2 vs St Etienne W (-1.6)