Season races
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctThe season in numbers
Under 2.5 goals paid out more than the market charged: +22.5% at market prices across 24 matches. 2 other markets also came out ahead; the rest returned less than they cost.
Share of matches with two or more first-half goals. First goals arrive after 21.5' on average.
Add Division 1 Women fixtures to your calendar
Every fixture this season, updated automatically: kick-off changes, postponements, and after each match the score, half-time score and goal minutes.
Where the season is heading
10,000 simulations · updated 8 OctWe simulate the remaining Division 1 Women schedule 10,000 times a day. OL Lyonnes W win the 2026-2027 title in 98% of them, projecting ~62 points — the race is close to decided. At the other end, Lens W finish in the bottom three in 83% of simulations.
| # | Team | Pts now | Proj. pts | Range | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OL Lyonnes W | 12 | 62 | 58–66 | 98% | >99% | — |
| 2 |  PSG W | 12 | 50 | 44–56 | 2% | >99% | — |
| 3 |  Paris FC W | 9 | 47 | 41–53 | <1% | >99% | — |
| 4 |  Fleury 91 W | 4 | 33 | 27–40 | — | 58% | <1% |
| 5 |  Nantes W | 2 | 28 | 21–34 | — | 16% | 6% |
| · · · | |||||||
| 10 | Saint-Malo W | 3 | 18 | 13–24 | — | <1% | 66% |
| 11 | Toulouse W | 1 | 16 | 10–22 | — | <1% | 82% |
| 12 |  Lens W | 1 | 16 | 10–22 | — | <1% | 83% |
Dixon-Coles model, 10,000 simulations of the 108 remaining scheduled fixtures · tiebreakers points > GD > GF · updated daily.
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<iframe src="https://www.football-charts.com/embed/france/premiere-ligue-women/projection" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;border-radius:8px" title="Division 1 Women live table — Football Charts" loading="lazy"></iframe> <p style="font-size:12px"><a href="https://www.football-charts.com/leagues/france/premiere-ligue-women">Division 1 Women stats by Football Charts</a></p>
Market vs results
line = cumulative gap between price and outcomeHow each market's prices compared with what happened in every Division 1 Women match. Above zero, the outcome came in more often than the average price implied; most lines sit below — that's the bookmaker margin at work.
Table — points vs market expectations
full table →| # | Team | Pts | xPTS | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | OL Lyonnes W | 12 | 10.7 | +1.3 | |
| 2 | PSG W | 12 | 9.7 | +2.3 | |
| 3 | Paris FC W | 9 | 7.1 | +1.9 | |
| 4 |  Marseille W | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7 | |
| 5 |  Le Havre W | 6 | 2.4 | +3.6 | |
| · · · | |||||
| 10 | Nantes W | 2 | 3.5 | -1.5 | |
| 11 | Lens W | 1 | 1.5 | -0.5 | |
| 12 | Toulouse W | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4 | |
Teams
per-team stats, goal timing & market analysis
Go deeper
Past seasons
completed-season tables, charts & market backtestsStatistics, not betting advice · the market usually knows why · 18+