Premiere Ligue Women 2025-2026 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nantes W | 23 | 41 | 27.4 | +13.6Outperforming ++ | 6 | +2.2 | +8.4 | 3:1 vs Paris FC W (+2.4) | 0:1 vs Strasbourg W (-1.6) |
2 | Paris FC W | 24 | 51 | 44.5 | +6.5Outperforming ++ | 3 | +4.8 | +1.8 | 1:0 vs PSG W (+1.8) | 3:1 vs Nantes W (-2.2) |
3 | Dijon W | 22 | 33 | 28.8 | +4.2Outperforming | 5 | -2.6 | +6.7 | 1:2 vs Nantes W (+1.5) | 0:4 vs Strasbourg W (-2.0) |
4 | Strasbourg W | 22 | 26 | 21.9 | +4.1Outperforming | 10 | +0.1 | +4.0 | 3:0 vs PSG W (+2.5) | 2:4 vs Marseille W (-1.6) |
5 | Lyon W | 24 | 66 | 63.4 | +2.6Outperforming | 1 | +3.9 | -1.3 | 0:1 vs PSG W (+0.8) | 2:2 vs Strasbourg W (-1.7) |
6 | Fleury 91 W | 22 | 33 | 31.5 | +1.5On expectation | 4 | -2.0 | +3.5 | 0:3 vs PSG W (+2.5) | 1:2 vs Nantes W (-1.8) |
7 | Le Havre W | 22 | 21 | 21.9 | -0.9On expectation | 9 | -3.6 | +2.7 | 0:3 vs PSG W (+2.5) | 2:1 vs Lens W (-1.3) |
8 | PSG W | 23 | 47 | 49.3 | -2.3Underperforming | 2 | -4.7 | +2.4 | 0:3 vs Paris FC W (+1.4) | 0:3 vs Le Havre W (-2.4) |
9 | Lens W | 22 | 15 | 19.2 | -4.2Underperforming | 11 | -1.3 | -2.9 | 2:1 vs Montpellier W (+1.7) | 2:1 vs St Etienne W (-1.3) |
10 | Marseille W | 22 | 19 | 23.4 | -4.4Underperforming | 8 | -8.9 | +4.5 | 0:3 vs Montpellier W (+1.9) | 0:1 vs St Etienne W (-1.8) |
11 | St Etienne W | 22 | 13 | 18.7 | -5.7Underperforming −− | 12 | -2.7 | -3.0 | 0:1 vs Marseille W (+2.1) | 0:2 vs Strasbourg W (-1.6) |
12 | Montpellier W | 22 | 15 | 24.3 | -9.3Underperforming −− | 7 | -3.6 | -5.6 | 1:2 vs Marseille W (+1.8) | 4:2 vs St Etienne W (-1.8) |
