Premiere Ligue Women 2026-2027 Performance vs Market
Expected points (xPTS) come from pre-match market odds: what the market rated each team's chances at before kickoff. A positive Δ means the team is outperforming those expectations — playing better than the market rated them; a negative Δ means they're delivering less than their billing. Big gaps usually say more about the team than about fortune.
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | vs xPTS | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Paris FC W | 5 | 12 | 7.1 | +4.9Outperforming | 5 | +1.2 | +0.7 | 0:2 vs Strasbourg W (+1.0) | 7:1 vs OL Lyonnes W (-0.3) |
2 | Nantes W | 6 | 8 | 4.9 | +3.1Outperforming | 9 | +1.0 | -0.9 | 3:2 vs Strasbourg W (+1.6) | 2:0 vs Paris FC W (-0.5) |
3 | Le Havre W | 6 | 8 | 5.0 | +3.0Outperforming | 8 | +0.8 | -0.8 | 2:0 vs Saint-Malo W (+1.4) | 1:0 vs Marseille W (-0.7) |
4 | PSG W | 6 | 15 | 12.5 | +2.5Outperforming | 2 | +1.1 | +1.4 | 1:3 vs Fleury 91 W (+0.8) | 0:4 vs OL Lyonnes W (-0.4) |
5 | OL Lyonnes W | 6 | 18 | 16.2 | +1.8On expectation | 1 | +0.7 | +1.0 | 0:4 vs PSG W (+0.6) | 1:8 vs Le Havre W (0.1) |
6 | Strasbourg W | 6 | 7 | 6.7 | +0.3On expectation | 6 | +0.3 | +0.0 | 1:3 vs Lens W (+1.7) | 3:2 vs Nantes W (-1.3) |
7 | Marseille W | 6 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.0On expectation | 3 | +1.3 | -1.3 | 2:1 vs Lens W (+1.0) | 0:0 vs Montpellier W (-0.6) |
8 | Toulouse W | 5 | 1 | 1.4 | -0.4On expectation | 12 | 0.0 | -1.4 | 5:0 vs OL Lyonnes W (+-0.1) | 5:1 vs Montpellier W (-1.3) |
9 | Saint-Malo W | 5 | 3 | 3.8 | -0.8On expectation | 11 | +1.3 | -2.1 | 1:0 vs Montpellier W (+2.0) | 2:0 vs Le Havre W (-1.1) |
10 | Fleury 91 W | 5 | 5 | 5.9 | -0.9On expectation | 7 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 0:2 vs Saint-Malo W (+0.9) | 1:1 vs Nantes W (-0.7) |
11 | Montpellier W | 6 | 6 | 7.5 | -1.5On expectation | 4 | +0.8 | -2.4 | 5:1 vs Toulouse W (+1.5) | 1:0 vs Saint-Malo W (-1.7) |
12 | Lens W | 6 | 2 | 4.2 | -2.2Underperforming | 10 | -1.8 | -1.4 | 0:0 vs Le Havre W (+-0.3) | 1:3 vs Strasbourg W (-1.4) |
